Re: SGG's Pick the President Poll
 

[quote=skinsfan_nn;314404]Republican Fred Thompson, the 'Law & Order' star and former Tennessee senator, is expected to take steps toward a White House bid within days. He reportedly will form a "testing the waters" committee, allowing him to raise money and hire staff. Flirting with candidacy for months, he's consistently third among GOP hopefuls in Gallup polls and many pundits believe he will shake up the race if he enters. Do you think Thompson should join the 2008 campaign? And would he energize the GOP field?


Thanks for sharing the info on the book, 70chip. In short I don't think kerry can save edwards from himself.

IMO, the democrats will not win the ticket to begin with. Not to mention I think edwards will be a none factor.

There's your FRED.[/quote]

I've heard that Thompson joining the race is going to kill Rudy's numbers.

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I'd be 100% behind either John McCain or Rudy, whichever wins the nomination. I prefer McCain, because I'm one of the very few Americans remaining who feel that we should be in Iraq.

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[quote=SmootSmack;314399]Ike was the man!

Matty, how would you compare Rudy and Pataki?[/quote]

Ugh, not a fan of Pataki either.

If I had to choose between the two I'd honestly not vote.

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Honestly I said Clinton, because she has the most resources backing her and everyone knows her. I think its a Obama-Clinton ticket.

Also Guiliani isn't much if it weren't for 9/11...sorry to be blunt

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[quote=wolfeskins;314394]i agree that northern va. is FOOL of liberals. i think geoge allen got the shaft because people were pissed off at bush, so they took their anger out by voting in a dem. the whole macaca thing was just used as a smokescreen, not too many people really cared about that.[/quote]

No he got the shaft because he is a racist P.O.S. He also dropped the N word frequently at UVa, and it was a big deal when that surfaced. Of course the sleaze denied it. It is just sad this kinda overt racism is even present in politics. Says something about the values of the Republican party and who they support.

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Not that the dems don't suck either, but I go with the lesser of the two evils.

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Ron Paul

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[QUOTE=hooskins;314467]Says something about the values of the Republican party and who they support.[/QUOTE]

C'mon man, you know better than to generalize like that.

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Alone again! John McCain.

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I'd choose McCain from this list. I can't see either Clinton or Obama winning because this country at the moment (unfortunately) is too closed minded to vote for either a woman or an African American. Giuliani doesn't do it for me, neither does Romney.

However, Fred Thompson is the dark horse in all of this. The average, politically uninformed American is going to recognize him and automatically associate with him.

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[quote=dmek25;314378]if i had to vote on strictly the poll, i would vote for Hilliary. there is nothing that bothers me about a powerful, educated woman[/quote]

I don't mind women holding positions of power, but the fact that that particular woman is a viable candidate for the presidency makes me lose faith in the American public. If there was no Bill Clinton, Hillary wouldn't even have come close to becoming the mayor of New York, much less the presidency.

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When did Hillary become mayor of New York?

I thought there'd be more votes for Mitt

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Romney puts Kerry to shame when it comes to flip-flopping.

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[quote=SmootSmack;314539]When did Hillary become mayor of New York?[/quote]


LOL yeah Mayor Bloomberg might have something to say about that.

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[quote=SmootSmack;314539]When did Hillary become mayor of New York?
[/quote]

Senator... My fault. :doh:

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Where's Ron Paul? That's who I want.

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Why does everyone love Ron Paul so much?

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Ron Paul was very interesting on his appearance on the Bill Maher show last week

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[QUOTE=SmootSmack;314559]Why does everyone love Ron Paul so much?[/QUOTE]

He wants us out of Iraq, and wants us to give up our self-appointed role of policeman of the world.

Ron Paul favors a non-interventionist foreign policy -- and though he's not doing very well in the polls, I'd bet that most Americans are getting sick of the idea of throwing billions of dollars in foreign aid to countries that hate us, and getting American troops killed overthrowing dictators when it should be the job of those who are oppressed.

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[QUOTE=Beemnseven;314637]He wants us out of Iraq, and wants us to give up our self-appointed role of policeman of the world.

Ron Paul favors a non-interventionist foreign policy -- and though he's not doing very well in the polls, I'd bet that most Americans are getting sick of the idea of throwing billions of dollars in foreign aid to countries that hate us, and getting American troops killed overthrowing dictators when it should be the job of those who are oppressed.[/QUOTE]

Does he actually have a plan to get us out? Whether we want to be or not, I think we sort of have to be involved in other country's issues. The world is flat as they say.

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[QUOTE=SmootSmack;314644]Does he actually have a plan to get us out? Whether we want to be or not, I think we sort of have to be involved in other country's issues. The world is flat as they say.[/QUOTE]

His plan is to have us pack up our shit and just leave. Why do we have to be involved in other countries business? Humanitarian involvement I can understand but anything beyond that is just meddlesome.

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[quote=saden1;314652]His plan is to have us pack up our shit and just leave. Why do we have to be involved in other countries business? Humanitarian involvement I can understand but anything beyond that is just meddlesome.[/quote]

While I support an exit strategy...packing up and completely hauling ass is not the answer. I would imagine, even after a drawdown, there will be some military presence there for some time to come.

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[QUOTE=saden1;314652]His plan is to have us pack up our shit and just leave. Why do we have to be involved in other countries business? Humanitarian involvement I can understand but anything beyond that is just meddlesome.[/QUOTE]

How do you draw the line at huminatarian involvement? What happens when we are involved from a humanitarian standpoint with the people of an oppressed nation and then at some point it comes down to a military coup/intervention/what have you? We then just pack up and leave?

And what do we mean by "humanitarian" anyway?

What about when our own interests (mostly economic) are affected? Like in Guatemala (I think it was Guatemala) back in the 1950s. Where do we draw the line on involvement?

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[QUOTE=SmootSmack;314644]Does he actually have a plan to get us out? Whether we want to be or not, I think we sort of have to be involved in other country's issues. The world is flat as they say.[/QUOTE]

As commander-in-chief, he can pull troops out whenever he wants. Ron Paul would do so immediately. That's his plan.

The mentality which says "we have to be involved" is perhaps the biggest reason the middle east hates us to begin with. Open, honest and friendly trade with all nations, entangling alliances with none.

When we topple governments we don't like, install dictators like we did with the Shah of Iran in 1953, when we station troops in Mecca and involve ourselves in middle eastern territorial disputes like we did in the first Gulf War, when we bomb, strike, invade, and occupy foreign lands, what sort of reaction do you think we will continue to get in that part of the world?

As long as we feel the need to "get involved" with the affairs of the middle east, you can expect more irritated Arabs to "get involved" with more aircraft, office buildings, briefcase bombs over here.

Ron Paul believes that cycle has to come to an end.

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[QUOTE=SmootSmack;314662]How do you draw the line at huminatarian involvement? What happens when we are involved from a humanitarian standpoint with the people of an oppressed nation and then at some point it comes down to a military coup/intervention/what have you? We then just pack up and leave?

And what do we mean by "humanitarian" anyway? [/QUOTE]

That's exactly the reason the United States shouldn't be involved with humanitarian efforts either.

[QUOTE=SmootSmack]What about when our own interests (mostly economic) are affected? Like in Guatemala (I think it was Guatemala) back in the 1950s. Where do we draw the line on involvement?[/QUOTE]

Kinda like middle eastern oil? The problem is that "our interests" often get confused with what [B]doesn't belong to us[/B]. I understand we have a big need for oil. [I]But it's not ours[/I].

Every year around the time of the Super Bowl, I find the "need" for a big screen, hi-def television set. Does that mean I should go over to my neighbor's house and 'act in my own best interests' ??

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[quote=Beemnseven;314666]As commander-in-chief, he can pull troops out whenever he wants. Ron Paul would do so immediately. That's his plan.

The mentality which says "we have to be involved" is perhaps the biggest reason the middle east hates us to begin with. Open, honest and friendly trade with all nations, entangling alliances with none.

When we topple governments we don't like, install dictators like we did with the Shah of Iran in 1953, when we station troops in Mecca and involve ourselves in middle eastern territorial disputes like we did in the first Gulf War, when we bomb, strike, invade, and occupy foreign lands, what sort of reaction do you think we will continue to get in that part of the world?

As long as we feel the need to "get involved" with the affairs of the middle east, you can expect more irritated Arabs to "get involved" with more aircraft, office buildings, briefcase bombs over here.

Ron Paul believes that cycle has to come to an end.[/quote]

A-F'in-men to that.

Otherwise it's an endless cycle of violence, strikes and counter-strikes.

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So if someone comes to us asking for help (and I'm just asking this hypothetically) what's our response supposed to be? "Sorry, not our problem?" Basically, is Ron Paul's answer to act like we're not part of the world?

I guess I need to learn more about Ron Paul. It just seems to me like he hasn't really thought through the whole "we'll let's just leave" philosophy. Or maybe I haven't, but I'm not the one trying to convince America to vote for me as their next President.

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[QUOTE=SmootSmack;314662]How do you draw the line at huminatarian involvement? What happens when we are involved from a humanitarian standpoint with the people of an oppressed nation and then at some point it comes down to a military coup/intervention/what have you? We then just pack up and leave?

And what do we mean by "humanitarian" anyway?

What about when our own interests (mostly economic) are affected? Like in Guatemala (I think it was Guatemala) back in the 1950s. Where do we draw the line on involvement?[/QUOTE]

Humanitarian as in natural disasters (famine, earth quake, etc). If a country is in the midst of a revolution, what can we do? Every nation has to go through growing pains. The only thing we can do is to levy sanction against those who are oppressive and try to help the waring factions negotiate a peaceful settlement amongst themselves. You simply cannot fix something that isn't ready to be fixed by force.

As for looking out for our own interest, sometimes it might be best to step back look at things from another perspective. If you do everything in your own personal life out of self interest you would be a huge dick. Also, what's in your best interest in the short term is not often in your best interest in the long run.

If Saudi Arabia had a revolution tomorrow, what should the United States do?

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[quote=SmootSmack;314669]So if someone comes to us asking for help (and I'm just asking this hypothetically) what's our response supposed to be? "Sorry, not our problem?" Basically, is Ron Paul's answer to act like we're not part of the world?

I guess I need to learn more about Ron Paul. It just seems to me like he hasn't really thought through the whole "we'll let's just leave" philosophy. Or maybe I haven't, but I'm not the one trying to convince America to vote for me as their next President.[/quote]


Samer here. I'll be the first to admit I'm not up to snuff on what his policies are, but I'm not too sure about this one. Perhaps there's more to it that has been mentioned.

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So I guess we shouldn't have gone into Kosovo, Bosnia, Somalia, or Rwanda (I know we didn't go there). I guess we also shouldn't intervene in places like the Sudan. I actually believe we shouldn't have gone or go into the above-mentioned places. I just wanted to list those "humanitarian interventions" because I think a lot of people who say we shouldn't be involved in other people's affairs don't really mean it. Humanitarian interventions are almost always met with force (see Somalia, Bosnia, Rwanda, Kosovo, the Sudan, etc.).

As for Ron Paul's position on Iraq, what does he think will happen to Iraq once we leave? Does he think the sectarian strife will subside following our departure? If so, he's nuts. If, however, he doesn't care if the civil war will increase in intensity and perhaps bring other countries (e.g., Turkey and Iran) into the mix, then I guess that's his perogative. Finally, Iraq is a terrorist training ground already, but I can't see how our departure will help matters.

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If Saudi Arabia had a revolution tomorrow, what should the United States do?[/quote]

But this is why you need sound foreign policy and have sound advisors around you before hand. These types of decisions, to some extent, have to made before conflicts actually takes place.

We need economic allies and we need military allies, and vice versa.
There is an inherent responsibility that comes along with being the most powerful and wealthiest Nation in the world. Now that's not to say we should police the world, but we can't just stand pat while things are going awry globally.

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[QUOTE=SmootSmack;314669]I guess I need to learn more about Ron Paul. It just seems to me like he hasn't really thought through the whole "we'll let's just leave" philosophy. Or maybe I haven't, but I'm not the one trying to convince America to vote for me as their next President.[/QUOTE]

It says a lot that virtually no one in the house and no one (that I know of) in the Senate is calling for an immediate withdrawal from Iraq. I personally think the "leave immediately" plan is no plan at all. If I were in surgery, and even if the surgery went terribly awry, I wouldn't want the doctors to say, "Oh we screwed up, let's leave the room, don't worry about closing the patient up."

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Here's my general impression:

A dem will win the WH due to anti-Bush backlash alone. People are VERY done with the administration, and it showed in the midterms. Plus, it's very hard to hold the WH for 12 years, and the Bushies have not groomed a candidate in the VP slot as is usual. So I disagree with SBF's claim about the dems, though I agree they have no real plan or anything.

So, who is going to win the dem primaries? Hillary. She's got the most cash, the best team, and she knows how to play hardball. And Bill is one of the best politicians of the last few decades (note: I did not say leader or human being!), and he's her top adviser.

My guess is Obama will trip up, and his lack of experience will be his downfall. Edwards has a rousing stump speech, but it won't carry him through the big primaries where the deal is done by labor unions, local party hacks, etc. (Iowa means less and less, IMO, especially with the crazy front-loaded primary schedule.)

The republicans will lose the general election due to the backlash factor. And as for the "people hate Hillary" thing, sure, but those are mostly republicans anyway. In this election, whoever is the democratic candidate gets NY and CA for free. Then it's just a matter of picking up a few more states--look, Kerry (who was LAME) almost won, given the electoral map. She just needs a few more states, and she and her team know how to get them, IMO.

So it's Hillary. I'm ok with that--she been a decent centerist/pragmatist in the Senate, she's a "liberal hawk" on defense/IR, and she's proven she can play well with others. Plus, she's part of the New Dem caucus that melds free trade to the usual democratic issues--see NAFTA, for what it's worth. And she'll most likely bring in some of the good people from Bill's administration. Finally, DC, especially in the executive branch, needs a good housecleaning. I doubt a republican could do that, but a dem will have a mandate to fix CIA, INS, EPA, FEMA, and all those other departments that the Bushies have gutted and filled with political hacks (to the great detriment of our nation's security). So I'm going with Hillary.

And I'm psyched to have Bill back in the WH chasing tail. I miss those days when that was the worst thing going on in the world.

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Why is it our job to stick our noses into everyone else's problems??

I'll just never understand why people think the US needs to be the world police.

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[quote=JWsleep;314685]Here's my general impression:

A dem will win the WH due to anti-Bush backlash alone. People are VERY done with the administration, and it showed in the midterms. Plus, it's very hard to hold the WH for 12 years, and the Bushies have not groomed a candidate in the VP slot as is usual. So I disagree with SBF's claim about the dems, though I agree they have no real plan or anything.

So, who is going to win the dem primaries? Hillary. She's got the most cash, the best team, and she knows how to play hardball. And Bill is one of the best politicians of the last few decades (note: I did not say leader or human being!), and he's her top adviser.

My guess is Obama will trip up, and his lack of experience will be his downfall. Edwards has a rousing stump speech, but it won't carry him through the big primaries where the deal is done by labor unions, local party hacks, etc. (Iowa means less and less, IMO, especially with the crazy front-loaded primary schedule.)

The republicans will lose the general election due to the backlash factor. And as for the "people hate Hillary" thing, sure, but those are mostly republicans anyway. In this election, whoever is the democratic candidate gets NY and CA for free. Then it's just a matter of picking up a few more states--look, Kerry (who was LAME) almost won, given the electoral map. She just needs a few more states, and she and her team know how to get them, IMO.

So it's Hillary. I'm ok with that--she been a decent centerist/pragmatist in the Senate, she's a "liberal hawk" on defense/IR, and she's proven she can play well with others. Plus, she's part of the New Dem caucus that melds free trade to the usual democratic issues--see NAFTA, for what it's worth. And she'll most likely bring in some of the good people from Bill's administration. Finally, DC, especially in the executive branch, needs a good housecleaning. I doubt a republican could do that, but a dem will have a mandate to fix CIA, INS, EPA, FEMA, and all those other departments that the Bushies have gutted and filled with political hacks (to the great detriment of our nation's security). So I'm going with Hillary.

And I'm psyched to have Bill back in the WH chasing tail. I miss those days when that was the worst thing going on in the world.[/quote]

Good analysis

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[quote=70Chip;314337]"I'm just waiting on a Fred."

Ha, I love my own humor. Meantime Rudy.[/quote]


I assume you're talking about Fred Thomspon and this morning on my way to work WMAL basically said you can expect him to announce his candidacy on July 4th.

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[quote=Mattyk72;314686]Why is it our job to stick our noses into everyone else's problems??

I'll just never understand why people think the US needs to be the world police.[/quote]

Well that's an argument for never going into Iraq in the first place, but it's not a good argument for why we should just pack up and leave.

We were the ones who made that friggin mess (though not the only ones, thanks Iran and Syria). We'd absolutely DESTROY any remaining credibility we have in the international community if we just packed up and left a power vacuum in it's place. The Iraqi government is not nearly strong enough to stand on its own, and without our presence the insurgents/Iran would quickly move to overthrow the existing government.

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[QUOTE=Sheriff Gonna Getcha;314679]As for Ron Paul's position on Iraq, what does he think will happen to Iraq once we leave? Does he think the sectarian strife will subside following our departure? If so, he's nuts. If, however, he doesn't care if the civil war will increase in intensity and perhaps bring other countries (e.g., Turkey and Iran) into the mix, then I guess that's his perogative. Finally, Iraq is a terrorist training ground already, but I can't see how our departure will help matters.[/QUOTE]

I'm not certain he's stated one way or the other what he thinks will happen once we leave. I do know this -- go back and read his statements in 2002 and 2003 about why we shouldn't go into Iraq, and his predictions on what will happen once the balance of power is overturned. At every turn, Ron Paul was right.

I can't speak for him, but I can tell you what I think about 'sectarian strife' after we leave: Who cares? Let the Sunnis and the Shia duke it out. It is not our job to referee a civil war over religious disputes between Muslims. Our departure will secure one thing -- a stop to dead American servicemen and women in a poorly planned fiasco we never should have gotten ourselves involved with in the first place.

As for Iran taking over? Fine. Let them start taking the casualties.

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[QUOTE=Schneed10;314703]Well that's an argument for never going into Iraq in the first place, but it's not a good argument for why we should just pack up and leave.

We were the ones who made that friggin mess (though not the only ones, thanks Iran and Syria). We'd absolutely DESTROY any remaining credibility we have in the international community if we just packed up and left a power vacuum in it's place. The Iraqi government is not nearly strong enough to stand on its own, and without our presence the insurgents/Iran would quickly move to overthrow the existing government.[/QUOTE]

I can appreciate the point of those who say we're there now, and there's nothing we can do about the mistakes our country has made in the past.

But for a moment, let's say what is not supposed to be said: They'll say we'll lose all of our credibility -- We have no credibility in the international community. They say Iraq will turn into a bloodbath when we leave -- Iraq IS a bloodbath. The only difference is that American blood will no longer be spilled there.

We were the ones who created the vacuum when we toppled Saddam. He was a Secularist, who quite obviously knew how to keep the Sunnis and the Shia separated and in line. Was he evil? Sure. But he kept order in what we now know to be a volatile environment, and he kept Iran in check. Now he's gone, the insane are running the asylum, and we are caught in the crosshairs of huge mess.

The old saying by Thomas Jefferson goes like this: The tree of liberty must be freshened from time to time by the blood of patriots and tyrants. At some point, the people of Iraq will have to discover their own destiny -- even if that destiny is paved with blood, even if it's a knock-down, drag out with Iran. The right thing to do, the ONLY thing to do, is get the hell out of their way.

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[quote=Hail2theskins;314701]I assume you're talking about Fred Thomspon and this morning on my way to work WMAL basically said you can expect him to announce his candidacy on July 4th.[/quote]

I was actually referring to Fred Couples. I think if his back stays healthy he could really give it a run. That belly putter will go over like gangbusters in New Hampshire.