Re: Election predictions thread
 

I thought this was interesting ... the guy is in baseball stats so I thought it was fitting, hes got 344 to 193 for Obama
[IMG]http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_5ieXw28ZUpg/SQks0JhKnYI/AAAAAAAAAgM/JkcyS93Myfk/S1600-R/1029_scenario.png[/IMG]
[url=http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/]FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections Done Right[/url]

Re: Election predictions thread
 

[quote=NM Redskin;495749]I thought this was interesting ... the guy is in baseball stats so I thought it was fitting, hes got [B]344 to 193 for Obama[/B]
[IMG]http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_5ieXw28ZUpg/SQks0JhKnYI/AAAAAAAAAgM/JkcyS93Myfk/S1600-R/1029_scenario.png[/IMG]
[URL="http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/"]FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections Done Right[/URL][/quote]

That seems huge. As much as I'd like to see that, I think it's gonna be a bit closer than that.

Re: Election predictions thread
 

[quote=TheMalcolmConnection;495720]Prediction: pain. Obama kicks a late field goal to win 20-17. McCain does his best Wade Phillips impression by being old.

Seriously, Obama wins.[/quote]

LOL. Maybe we'll have another election gameday thread

[url]http://www.thewarpath.net/parking-lot/3542-the-offical-2004-election-thread-9.html[/url]

Re: Election predictions thread
 

Funny to see some Obama mentions in that thread

Re: Election predictions thread
 

[quote=SmootSmack;495752]LOL. Maybe we'll have another election gameday thread

[URL]http://www.thewarpath.net/parking-lot/3542-the-offical-2004-election-thread-9.html[/URL][/quote]

It would be nice to have a combined "We're 7-2!!!/Election Gameday Thread".

So money!

Re: Election predictions thread
 

[quote=dmek25;495679]i just checked the latest gallup poll, and obama is up 11 points. thats was around lunch time. its all in what poll you look at[/quote]

The poll I just checked said Nader is in the lead with a commanding 63% (plus or minus 63%.)

Re: Election predictions thread
 

obama wins period....

Re: Election predictions thread
 

we need some change that is for sure i just hope obama listens to his experts like clinton did and get us out of this mess that bush made.mcCain has very little chance.but i will vote for him anyway

Re: Election predictions thread
 

[URL="http://www.gallup.com/poll/111679/Gallup-Daily-Obamas-Lead-Widens-Some-All-Bases.aspx"]Obama advances to 8-point lead among “traditional likely voters”[/URL]

The political landscape could be improving for Barack Obama in the waning days of the campaign. [URL="http://www.gallup.com/tag/Gallup%2bDaily.aspx"][COLOR=#0000ff]Gallup Poll Daily tracking[/COLOR][/URL] from Oct. 28-30 shows him with an eight percentage point lead over John McCain among [URL="http://www.gallup.com/poll/111124/Gallup-Daily-Likely-Voters-Traditional.aspx"][COLOR=#0000ff]traditional likely voters[/COLOR][/URL] -- 51% to 43% -- his largest margin to date using this historical Gallup Poll voter model.

Obama's current 11-point lead over McCain among all registered voters -- 52% to 41% -- is up from an eight-point lead in yesterday's report, and ties his highest advantage on this basis, last recorded 10 days ago. (To view the complete trend since March 7, 2008, [URL="http://www.gallup.com/poll/107674/Gallup-Daily-Election-2008.aspx"][COLOR=#0000ff]click here[/COLOR][/URL].)

Re: Election predictions thread
 

[quote=70Chip;495634]Obama 51%
McCain 48%

Obama @ 286
McCain @ 255

I further predict that the news on all fronts, (Iraq, Afghanistan, the economy, various domestic "crises") will suddenly take a turn for the better after Tuesday. The news broadcasts will re-discover everything that is good about America quite literally overnight.

I also predict that many male Obama supporters will be chagrinned on election night when they are unable to parlay hours of envelope stuffing into action with the cute female Obama supporters.

Things will pretty much stay the same for the vast majority of us.

This forum will return to late night discussions about television shows, hot supermodels, monkeys that throw their own crap, and the occasional bleg for advice on car-buying, computer troubleshooting, and interior decorating.

Oh, and Keith Olbermann's ratings will start dying a long, slow death as the the political fad dies and young people flip to "Gossip Girl" and "So You Want to be an Albino Stripper".[/quote]

70, you're pretty much on point with your predictions except for the part about making out with the cute female supporters:

Re: Election predictions thread
 

[quote=Mattyk72;495946][URL="http://www.gallup.com/poll/111679/Gallup-Daily-Obamas-Lead-Widens-Some-All-Bases.aspx"]Obama advances to 8-point lead among “traditional likely voters”[/URL]

The political landscape could be improving for Barack Obama in the waning days of the campaign. [URL="http://www.gallup.com/tag/Gallup%2bDaily.aspx"][COLOR=#0000ff]Gallup Poll Daily tracking[/COLOR][/URL] from Oct. 28-30 shows him with an eight percentage point lead over John McCain among [URL="http://www.gallup.com/poll/111124/Gallup-Daily-Likely-Voters-Traditional.aspx"][COLOR=#0000ff]traditional likely voters[/COLOR][/URL] -- 51% to 43% -- his largest margin to date using this historical Gallup Poll voter model.

Obama's current 11-point lead over McCain among all registered voters -- 52% to 41% -- is up from an eight-point lead in yesterday's report, and ties his highest advantage on this basis, last recorded 10 days ago. (To view the complete trend since March 7, 2008, [URL="http://www.gallup.com/poll/107674/Gallup-Daily-Election-2008.aspx"][COLOR=#0000ff]click here[/COLOR][/URL].)[/quote]

The danger for Obama is that many of his supporters see these polls and think "It's in the bag, I'll just stay home and watch that SNL skit online again" and meanwhile, McCain supporters are actually getting out there and voting.

Re: Election predictions thread
 

[quote=SmootSmack;496011]The danger for Obama is that many of his supporters see these polls and think "It's in the bag, I'll just stay home and watch that SNL skit online again" and meanwhile, McCain supporters are actually getting out there and voting.[/quote]

Perhaps, but I don't think that will happen.

I think there's almost a sense of urgency out there among voters, turnouts are going to be big.

Re: Election predictions thread
 

[quote=Mattyk72;496012]Perhaps, but I don't think that will happen.

I think there's almost a sense of urgency out there among voters, turnouts are going to be big.[/quote]

8 hour lines in Georgia today. Three hours here in NC.

Re: Election predictions thread
 

[quote=12thMan;496014]8 hour lines in Georgia today. Three hours here in NC.[/quote]

I have to vote in Columbia Maryland and have to drive from Frederick Maryland after class... My class gets out at 3:15.. Given traffic and such I believe I'll be in Columbia by about 4:30-5 at the latest. If I'm in line before polls close, I still get to vote... Right? They're not gonna be like, "Oops, it's 8, get out of line, bitches."

Re: Election predictions thread
 

[quote=DynamiteRave;496020]I have to vote in Columbia Maryland and have to drive from Frederick Maryland after class... My class gets out at 3:15.. Given traffic and such I believe I'll be in Columbia by about 4:30-5 at the latest. If I'm in line before polls close, I still get to vote... Right? They're not gonna be like, "Oops, it's 8, get out of line, bitches."[/quote]

As long as you're in line you'll get to vote. Period.