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-   -   Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside (http://www.thewarpath.net/showthread.php?t=34568)

skinsfaninok 01-29-2014 09:19 PM

[QUOTE=Lotus;1057900]In southern MS we got more nailed with ice than with snow. Tons of it, a sleetocalypse. We didn't get more than a couple of inches but it is almost all ice.

We have no snow plows or salt trucks. No one has snow tires. Hence the freak out and the shut down.

Usually the rare snow here melts away within hours, hence the lack of equipment. For the first time in 20 years, we're winter screwed.[/QUOTE]

Same as Houston all ice no snow

Hijinx 01-29-2014 10:13 PM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
Just because something is beyond your understanding, that doesn't make it not true.

Climate change is real, [B][I]every[/I][/B] credible climatologist says so. Get educated on the subject then your opinion might matter.

FRPLG 01-30-2014 12:15 AM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
[quote=Hijinx;1057907]Just because something is beyond your understanding, that doesn't make it not true.

Climate change is real, [B][I]every[/I][/B] credible climatologist says so. Get educated on the subject then your opinion might matter.[/quote]

Global warming might very well exist...but it is an absolute falsehood that "every credible climatologist says so".

They key part of that phrase is "credible". Who decides what is credible? Certainly there are plenty of idiot crackpots in the deny camp...as there are in the warming camp. But what has happened is that the warming contingent has sought to label anyone who raises doubts as not "credible" simply due to those doubts. That's not science. It comes down to this, because they don't agree then they're not "credible". Ha! Skepticism is an integral part of science. To dismiss it is to abandon science. They're doing that. There are many who do it on both sides.

NC_Skins 01-30-2014 12:40 AM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
[quote=FRPLG;1057925]Global warming might very well exist...but it is an absolute falsehood that "every credible climatologist says so".

They key part of that phrase is "credible". Who decides what is credible? Certainly there are plenty of idiot crackpots in the deny camp...as there are in the warming camp. But what has happened is that the warming contingent has sought to label anyone who raises doubts as not "credible" simply due to those doubts. That's not science. It comes down to this, because they don't agree then they're not "credible". Ha! Skepticism is an integral part of science. To dismiss it is to abandon science. They're doing that. There are many who do it on both sides.[/quote]



The tiny fraction of scientists that don't believe in global warming are being funded by people like the Koch Brothers. These guys stand to lose billions so they pay scientist to say the opposite of what 97% of the scientist all agree on.


[url=http://sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Koch_Industries#cite_note-64]Koch Industries - SourceWatch[/url]


[quote]Other Koch funding
Koch-funded organizations

According to the 2010 report by Greenpeace, Koch Industries: Secretly Funding the Climate Denial Machine, Koch has out-spent ExxonMobil in funding climate change denial. From 2005 to 2008, ExxonMobil spent $8.9 million, while the Koch Industries-controlled foundations contributed $24.9 million in funding to organizations of climate change skeptics. Efforts include:

More than $5 million to Americans for Prosperity Foundation (AFP) for its nationwide “Hot Air Tour” campaign opposing clean energy and climate legislation.
More than $1 million to the Heritage Foundation, which writes about climate and environmental policy issues.
Over $1 million to the Cato Institute, which disputes the scientific evidence behind global warming, questions the rationale for taking climate action, and has been heavily involved in spinning the recent ClimateGate story.
$800,000 to the Manhattan Institute, which has hosted Bjorn Lomborg twice in the last two years, a prominent media spokesperson who challenges and attacks policy measures to address climate change.
$365,000 to Foundation for Research on Economics and the Environment (FREE), which advocates against taking action on climate change because warming is “inevitable” and expensive to address.
$360,000 to Pacific Research Institute for Public Policy (PRIPP) which supported and funded An Inconvenient Truth...or Convenient Fiction, a film attacking the science of global warming and intended as a rebuttal to former Vice-President Al Gore’s documentary An Inconvenient Truth (PRIPP also threatened to sue the U.S. Government for listing the polar bear as an endangered species.)
$325,000 to the Tax Foundation, which issued a misleading study on the costs of proposed climate legislation.

The reports says such contributions are only part of the picture, because the full scope of direct contributions to organizations is not disclosed by individual Koch family members, executives, or from the company itself.[/quote]


These scientists and politicians are being bankrolled to preach anti-global warming rhetoric so the Koch brothers can continue raking in billions and billions of dollars.


[url=http://kochcash.org/koch-cash-analysis-2/billionaires-carbon-bomb/#FIG1]Billionaires’ Carbon Bomb | Koch Cash[/url]

JoeRedskin 01-30-2014 05:04 AM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
I would suggest that the vast majority of "credible" believe global warming is occurring. The real question is whether or not it is the result of human driven and whether there is an impending climate crisis:

[url]http://www.forbes.com/sites/jamestaylor/2013/02/13/peer-reviewed-survey-finds-[/url]
majority-of-scientists-skeptical-of-global-warming-crisis/

but see: [url=http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2013/02/19/1608431/heartlands-james-taylor-falsely-claims-new-study-rejects-climate-consensus/]Heartland’s James Taylor Falsely Claims New Study Rejects Climate Consensus | ThinkProgress[/url]

Climate change and human interference in climate is one of the most politically driven areas of science out there. Once upon a time, I waded into it to try and understand what the "science" was/is. You simply cannot take anything with an opinion on it at face value and almost always have to look at who is funding whom.

HailGreen28 01-30-2014 06:20 AM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
[quote=JoeRedskin;1057928]I would suggest that the vast majority of "credible" believe global warming is occurring. The real question is whether or not it is the result of human driven and whether there is an impending climate crisis:

[url]http://www.forbes.com/sites/jamestaylor/2013/02/13/peer-reviewed-survey-finds-[/url]
majority-of-scientists-skeptical-of-global-warming-crisis/

but see: [url=http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2013/02/19/1608431/heartlands-james-taylor-falsely-claims-new-study-rejects-climate-consensus/]Heartland’s James Taylor Falsely Claims New Study Rejects Climate Consensus | ThinkProgress[/url]

Climate change and human interference in climate is one of the most politically driven areas of science out there. Once upon a time, I waded into it to try and understand what the "science" was/is. You simply cannot take anything with an opinion on it at face value and almost always have to look at who is funding whom.[/quote]I'm thinking, we've had "global warming" since the Ice Age, and Greenland actually lush and green (and icy again) since then, all without human intervention. But we've done so much changing the landscape and putting particulate in the air (not as much as volcanoes but still), it has to have an effect, it's debatable how much. I could be looking at this wrong....

FRPLG 01-30-2014 08:45 AM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
[quote=NC_Skins;1057926]The tiny fraction of scientists that don't believe in global warming are being funded by people like the Koch Brothers. These guys stand to lose billions so they pay scientist to say the opposite of what 97% of the scientist all agree on.


[url=http://sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Koch_Industries#cite_note-64]Koch Industries - SourceWatch[/url]





These scientists and politicians are being bankrolled to preach anti-global warming rhetoric so the Koch brothers can continue raking in billions and billions of dollars.


[url=http://kochcash.org/koch-cash-analysis-2/billionaires-carbon-bomb/#FIG1]Billionaires’ Carbon Bomb | Koch Cash[/url][/quote]
Propaganda. There is far more money of the green side now. Far more.

I'm not arguing that there isn't GW. I am arguing that the entire discussion, on both sides, has been hijacked by propaganda and money.

JoeRedskin 01-30-2014 08:49 AM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
[quote=HailGreen28;1057929]I'm thinking, we've had "global warming" since the Ice Age, and Greenland actually lush and green (and icy again) since then, all without human intervention. But we've done so much changing the landscape and putting particulate in the air (not as much as volcanoes but still), it has to have an effect, it's debatable how much. I could be looking at this wrong....[/quote]

I am coming around to the "human intervention is having a disparate effect on climate change" side but am still having a hard time getting past some of the scientific bias/prejudice displayed by the IPCC and it's members in their early drafts/product. [As RR screams "blasphemy --- it's [I]science[/I], it [I]can't[/I] be biased!!]

Again, when it comes to climate change, and regardless of the opinion expressed, you have to always follow the funding trail whether they are proclaiming "the end is nigh!!" or "relax, it's just the same old world turning" or something in the middle.

Chico23231 01-30-2014 08:57 AM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
My thought is this, an influx of man made pollution pumped into the atmosphere since the industrial age cant be good for the environment as a whole. My guess was the planet wasnt fist pumping like yes this is exactly what I need.

Schneed10 01-30-2014 08:57 AM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
I can't believe this is a serious discussion. Ignore the scientists because as FRPLG says, it's all propaganda. Just go back to high school science class. Did everyone sleep through it?

Greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, (water vapor, carbon dioxide, methane, ozone, etc.) absorb infrared radiation from the sun and refract it in the form of heat. The more fossil fuels you burn the more carbon dioxide and methane you put into the atmosphere. Thus the more of the sun's infrared radiation is absorbed and refracted, hence global warming.

These are simple chemical properties we've known about since the 1800s. Brush up people, either bust out your chem book or go rewatch Breaking Bad on Netflix.

Chico23231 01-30-2014 09:04 AM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
[quote=Schneed10;1057948]I can't believe this is a serious discussion. Ignore the scientists because as FRPLG says, it's all propaganda. Just go back to high school science class. Did everyone sleep through it?

Greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, (water vapor, carbon dioxide, methane, ozone, etc.) absorb infrared radiation from the sun and refract it in the form of heat. The more fossil fuels you burn the more carbon dioxide and methane you put into the atmosphere. Thus the more of the sun's infrared radiation is absorbed and refracted, hence global warming.

These are simple chemical properties we've known about since the 1800s. Brush up people, either bust out your chem book or go rewatch Breaking Bad on Netflix.[/quote]

So the argument, its really cold outside so it cant be a thing such as global warming doesnt work with you?

Dont listen to fox new then:

[url=http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/erik-wemple/wp/2014/01/07/jon-stewart-of-the-daily-show-rips-fox-news-on-climate-change/]Jon Stewart of ‘The Daily Show’ rips Fox News on climate change[/url]

JoeRedskin 01-30-2014 09:21 AM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
[quote=Schneed10;1057948]I can't believe this is a serious discussion. Ignore the scientists because as FRPLG says, it's all propaganda. Just go back to high school science class. Did everyone sleep through it?

Greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, (water vapor, carbon dioxide, methane, ozone, etc.) absorb infrared radiation from the sun and refract it in the form of heat. The more fossil fuels you burn the more carbon dioxide and methane you put into the atmosphere. Thus the more of the sun's infrared radiation is absorbed and refracted, hence global warming.

These are simple chemical properties we've known about since the 1800s. Brush up people, either bust out your chem book or go rewatch Breaking Bad on Netflix.[/quote]

Yes. You must be right b/c once greenhouse gases are pumped into the air [I]they stay there forever!![/I]

There is, actually, another side to the equation in that GHG's have an atmospheric lifetime (form most it is a few years). The question is whether the rate of production the GHG's with longer atmospheric lifetimes is outstripping the ability of the world ecosystem to absorb/dilute and ultimately disperse the GHG's and, if so, to what extent. [I]That[/I] is a complex question dependent on climate models which, in turn, depends on the variables and assumptions used in those models.

Lotus 01-30-2014 09:23 AM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
[quote=Chico23231;1057949]So the argument, [B]its really cold outside so it cant be a thing such as global warming doesnt work with you? [/B]

Dont listen to fox new then:

[url=http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/erik-wemple/wp/2014/01/07/jon-stewart-of-the-daily-show-rips-fox-news-on-climate-change/]Jon Stewart of ‘The Daily Show’ rips Fox News on climate change[/url][/quote]

It doesn't work with me. Extreme cold, as counterintuitive as it might seem, can provide evidence for global warming. The theory of global warming doesn't say it gets warmer every single day. Instead the theory predicts stronger and more bizarre weather patterns. Such weather patterns can include the strongest hurricane on record (like we saw last fall) but also things like Panama icing over (which has not happened and I use just as an example).

FRPLG 01-30-2014 09:56 AM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
There is also the question of what the ecosystems reaction to the warming is. It isn't as simple as GHGs exist and therefore the earth is warming. There is evidence to suggest that the quotient of warming introduced via GHGs is being offset by some other counter reaction...hence the lack of warming in the last 17 years. The main theory is that the ocean is storing up the heat deep within. I haven't read as much on this theory so I don't quite understand the specifics.

To me the main issue remains: does it really matter? Is the warming enough to actually cause negative issues? Are the effects being oversold? Are the effects even properly understood?

JoeRedskin 01-30-2014 10:23 AM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
I have noticed - purely on a personal anecdotal level - that the focus does seem to be shifting to what effect GHG's are having on the oceans and their role in climate control.

A quick google found this: [url=http://news.uci.edu/features/oceans-losing-ability-to-absorb-greenhouse-gas/]Oceans losing ability to absorb greenhouse gas | UCIrvine News[/url]

From the article (as I said, it's all in the modeling):

[quote] When we measure the carbon concentration of seawater, it’s not possible to distinguish carbon that originated from fossil-fuel burning and the large background level of natural carbon. [B]So instead of trying to directly measure the increase in ocean carbon, we created a mathematical model based on tens of thousands of ship-based measurements collected over the last 20 years that allowed us to determine where and how long ago the water in the ocean’s interior was last at the surface. The model was then used to track all of the ocean’s water masses backward in time to when they last exchanged carbon dioxide with the atmosphere. We reconstructed a year-by-year inventory of the manmade gas in the ocean from 1765 to 2008.[/B] This allowed us to identify trends in the uptake of human-generated carbon dioxide.[/quote]

Daseal 01-30-2014 11:04 AM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
[quote=Chico23231;1057947]My thought is this, an influx of man made pollution pumped into the atmosphere since the industrial age cant be good for the environment as a whole. My guess was the planet wasnt fist pumping like yes this is exactly what I need.[/quote]

The mental image of the earth fist pumping gave me a nice laugh. Nice work, Chico.

Schneed10 01-30-2014 11:29 AM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
[quote=JoeRedskin;1057950]Yes. You must be right b/c once greenhouse gases are pumped into the air [I]they stay there forever!![/I]

There is, actually, another side to the equation in that GHG's have an atmospheric lifetime (form most it is a few years). The question is whether the rate of production the GHG's with longer atmospheric lifetimes is outstripping the ability of the world ecosystem to absorb/dilute and ultimately disperse the GHG's and, if so, to what extent. [I]That[/I] is a complex question dependent on climate models which, in turn, depends on the variables and assumptions used in those models.[/quote]

Again, you're overthinking. You are a good thinker but sometimes you just do too much of it. The question is not whether the greenhouse gases can be absorbed. They would be absorbed at the same rate regardless. The question is how much would be in the atmosphere if we controlled our emissions better, vs how much would be in the atmosphere if we just burned fuel like China.

Focus on the actionable.

JoeRedskin 01-30-2014 12:03 PM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
[quote=Schneed10;1057960]Again, you're overthinking. You are a good thinker [B]but sometimes you just do too much of it[/B]. The question is not whether the greenhouse gases can be absorbed. They would be absorbed at the same rate regardless. [B]The question is how much would be in the atmosphere if we controlled our emissions better, vs how much would be in the atmosphere if we just burned fuel like China.[/B]

Focus on the actionable.[/quote]

lol ... someone telling me I am overthinking an issue. I am shocked! [I]shocked!![/I] I have never, ever, [I]ever[/I] been accused of that before ... well, not since yesterday.

Generally, I agree with your second statement. It is good to limit GHG emissions. It's just not that simple, however, because of the economics and the politics surrounding enforced limitations of GHG.

What is the cost of controlling emissions versus the likely harm to the environment and our economy? If the limitation of our emissions by complying with Kyoto would be significantly detrimental to our economic health but have minimal effect on the potential change to the environmental harm caused, then should the US adopt radical and detrimental economic strictures while China is allowed to ratify Kyoto but be exempt from compliance as a non-annex country (China took over top GHG emitter from the US in 2006)? As such, understanding the reality of climate change (including the earth's intrinsic ability to handle GHG emissions) is essential for the US to make rational policy decisions in its adopton of environmental regulation.

Is the environmental end really near and will it have a radical, detrimental effect on our economy greater than the cost of harm caused by a longer but less radical transition to greener technologies? [BTW - Even though we have not adopted the Kyoto strictures, our GHG emissions have already decreased through such incremental changes].

See. Clear as a bell with no more thought than absolutely necessary.

Schneed10 01-30-2014 12:31 PM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
[quote=JoeRedskin;1057966]lol ... someone telling me I am overthinking an issue. I am shocked! [I]shocked!![/I] I have never, ever, [I]ever[/I] been accused of that before ... well, not since yesterday.

Generally, I agree with your second statement. It is good to limit GHG emissions. It's just not that simple, however, because of the economics and the politics surrounding enforced limitations of GHG.

What is the cost of controlling emissions versus the likely harm to the environment and our economy? If the limitation of our emissions by complying with Kyoto would be significantly detrimental to our economic health but have minimal effect on the potential change to the environmental harm caused, then should the US adopt radical and detrimental economic strictures while China is allowed to ratify Kyoto but be exempt from compliance as a non-annex country (China took over top GHG emitter from the US in 2006)? As such, understanding the reality of climate change (including the earth's intrinsic ability to handle GHG emissions) is essential for the US to make rational policy decisions in its adopton of environmental regulation.

Is the environmental end really near and will it have a radical, detrimental effect on our economy greater than the cost of harm caused by a longer but less radical transition to greener technologies? [BTW - Even though we have not adopted the Kyoto strictures, our GHG emissions have already decreased through such incremental changes].

See. Clear as a bell with no more thought than absolutely necessary.[/quote]

These are all excellent points. Maybe I misread you before, I thought you were contesting whether global warming was actually happening. That's the view that drives me nuts and is devoid of the most basic understanding of science. You're raising entirely different questions, which basically boils down to: what is the impact of global warming, and does that impact really matter to us. I love thinking about those questions, and I definitely personally prioritize economic need above almost all else.

JoeRedskin 01-30-2014 12:57 PM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
[quote=Schneed10;1057972]These are all excellent points. Maybe I misread you before, I thought you were contesting whether global warming was actually happening. That's the view that drives me nuts and is devoid of the most basic understanding of science. You're raising entirely different questions, which basically boils down to: what is the impact of global warming, and does that impact really matter to us. I love thinking about those questions, and I definitely personally prioritize economic need above almost all else.[/quote]

Yeah. I wasn't particular clear in my first couple posts and, truthfully, was hedging b/c of my earlier doubts on the subject. Based on what I believe to be the widely held "black box" belief of the scientific community, however, I now believe global warming/climate change is happening and is being affected by human GHG emissions.

It is the predictions of doom and gloom and the call for immediate and economically crippling environmental regulation that has me skeptical. I think both the world and humans are more adaptable than current assumptions/predictions would indicate.

JoeRedskin 01-30-2014 12:59 PM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
[quote=FRPLG;1057944]I'm not arguing that there isn't GW. I am arguing that the entire discussion, on both sides, has been hijacked by propaganda and money.[/quote]

Pretty much this.

FRPLG 01-30-2014 03:12 PM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
We're all missing the point anyways. This thread is for bitching about the cold weather. Intelligent debate is not needed.

jamf 01-30-2014 03:21 PM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
[quote=FRPLG;1057991]We're all missing the point anyways. This thread is for bitching about the cold weather. Intelligent debate is not needed.[/quote]

I agree.

It's cold and drizzling today here in San Diego. I might have to wear pants and a long sleeve shirt to work tomorrow.

FRPLG 01-30-2014 03:58 PM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
[quote=jamf;1057992]I agree.

It's cold and drizzling today here in San Diego. I might have to wear pants and a long sleeve shirt to work tomorrow.[/quote]

-1 points for the humble brag

BaltimoreSkins 01-30-2014 08:34 PM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
As some one who studied environmental science in college and currently teaches it I will attempt to convey some of the science without getting into the personal bias. Most of what we know as climate change gets confused with GW when in actually GW is one of many phenomena associated with climate change. Including GW some of the other phenomena include: altering of weather patterns and ocean currents and ocean acidification. The models we are using predict wide ranges of temperature increases, however the vast majority are showing increases in atmospheric temperatures. The beauty of science and models is as new information arises we can alter the models to get more accurate readings.

GHG affects: Joe explained very importantly that all gasses have a life cycle in the atmosphere and here is the life span:
water vapor ~9 days
carbon dioxide ( a few years to up to a 100(generally accepted value is 70 yrs))-This variable is due to the rate of release of carbon dioxide vs sequestration. The more trees, wetlands, and less sprawl the more get sequestered
Methane- 12 years
Nitrous oxide 100+ year
CFCs up to 500 years

The scientists studying climate change and find validity in the models range from academia, government, military, and climatolgist working for energy corps. Most of the intrest in creating and utilizing the models are for discoveries of impacts on a countries natural reources and citizens, military for establishing control over newly opened land masses and water routes and establishing and researching reserves of natural resources.

DynamiteRave 01-31-2014 11:39 AM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
We're apparently on watch for a potential "blizzard" type system that would hit the area next weekend.

I'm half hearted about this. I want it because it'll keep me from having to go to work. But I'm also going to be in Wisconsin from next Friday to that Sunday. So this system, if it ends up being a blizzard, could prevent me from getting home.

Meh.

ArtMonkDrillz 01-31-2014 11:53 AM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
[quote=DynamiteRave;1058079]We're apparently on watch for a potential "blizzard" type system that would hit the area next weekend.

I'm half hearted about this. I want it because it'll keep me from having to go to work. But I'm also going to be in Wisconsin from next Friday to that Sunday. So this system, if it ends up being a blizzard, could prevent me from getting home.

Meh.[/quote]I've heard this too, but personally, I hope we don't get hit hard next weekend. It would end up costing me a couple hundred dollars since I'm supposed to referee a couple of wrestling events and the season schedule probably won't allow for makeup dates.

Then again, I am [I]very [/I]lazy...

RedskinRat 01-31-2014 08:07 PM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
[IMG]https://scontent-b-sjc.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-ash4/t1/1507114_614796871918740_1654447250_n.jpg[/IMG]

RedskinRat 01-31-2014 08:22 PM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
[IMG]http://scontent-b-sjc.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-prn2/t1/1654366_612809045450856_1664742005_n.jpg[/IMG]

RedskinRat 01-31-2014 08:25 PM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
[IMG]https://scontent-b-sjc.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-ash4/t1/1509200_612997778765316_1527908188_n.jpg[/IMG]

RedskinRat 01-31-2014 08:59 PM

Re: Global Warming? My A$$ Its Cold Outside
 
[IMG]http://fbcdn-sphotos-d-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-ash3/t1/581749_595438707187890_2068984642_n.jpg[/IMG]


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