Quote:
Originally Posted by BaltimoreSkins
Not really No Team Can Beat the Draft | FiveThirtyEight
I think it just seems that way since we are so vested in this team. It may also be because we have a tradition of trading away draft picks and not collecting them, which appears to be the most effective way to succeed at the draft. |
Of note in that article:
"Research by TheBigLead’s Jason Lisk (then writing for Pro-Football-Reference) shows that teams with top-five picks in the draft correctly identify the player who goes on to have the best career only
10.3 percent of the time, a success rate that only gets worse as things progress deeper into the draft. So a team that believes it could somehow beat the market if only it controlled its own fate can
end up doing more harm than good if it trades away lower picks to move up in the draft. "
Sound like any team you know?