[Schneed10]

These are the number of 3rd down conversions allowed per game. Note the bolded. With small sample sizes like this, any statistical observation is bound to revert towards the mean, at least somewhat.

We'll get better on 3rd down defense, and the Eagles will begin to get exposed a bit more often. I expect a tight race between all 4 teams coming down the stretch.

Rank Team 2016
1 Philadelphia 3.3
2 NY Jets 4.0
3 Oakland 4.0
4 Indianapolis 4.2
5 Seattle 4.2
6 Houston 4.5
7 Tampa Bay 4.5
8 Miami 4.8
9 Cincinnati 4.8
10 Pittsburgh 4.8
11 Carolina 5.0
12 Buffalo 5.0
13 Baltimore 5.0
14 San Diego 5.0
15 Dallas 5.0
16 Cleveland 5.2
17 Green Bay 5.3
18 New Orleans 5.5
19 Atlanta 5.5
20 Tennessee 5.8
21 Chicago 6.0
22 Detroit 6.0
23 New England 6.0
24 Kansas City 6.0
25 San Francisco 6.2
26 Arizona 6.2
27 Denver 6.2
28 Los Angeles 6.5
29 Jacksonville 6.5
30 Minnesota 6.7
31 NY Giants 6.7
32 Washington 6.8