Quote:
Originally Posted by punch it in
Just want to point out one small thing. As fucked up as it is that all people do not vote - they do not. If trumps people showed up than good for them. However voting polls do not necessarily reflect true numbers do they?
|
imo, polls generally are good but they can also be written to skew results. Assuming you have a well constructed poll, and the outcome surpasses the margin of error significantly, than that outcome is rock solid.
BUT, when you have polls that are less well constructed or even biased, OR, the results are close to the statistical margin of error, than those outcomes are shaky. They may tend to be statistically right, but the overall analysis of the outcomes probably will be more wrong then right, simply because the foundational truth (the poll result) is more subject to shifts in opinions.