Commanders Post at The Warpath - View Single Post - Just another loss post game who gives a fuck thread

AnonEmouse · 10-21-2026, 12:30 PM

League analytics generally doesn't take into account the individual teams quality and almost certainly not how the game is going. It'll be statistical analysis of common scenarios (x down and y yards to go) and what is the likelihood of a positive result for each option (punt/FG, go for it). That's why I said above, ignore the analytics, consider how well you've done against that D so far. Even if the general odds are in favour of teh risk, as a coach you have to know what YOUR likelihood of success for each scenario is. We were not converting enough 3rd and 4th downs, so kicking the FG made sense 2 ways; 1) you don't have a pointless drive and the impact that has on the team 2) you have the chance to bottle up their O again (which we did) and then the worst scoring outcome is a tying FG. If you tie, you're going into OT with the momentum (having totally outscored them in the 2nd half) so hopefully you have a great chance of winning.

Going for it on 4th and 8 is not a hill I'd want to be dying on.

10-21-2026, 12:30 PM	#71
AnonEmouse Playmaker Join Date: Feb 2004 Location: UK Age: 60 Posts: 2,932	Re: Just another loss post game who gives a fuck thread League analytics generally doesn't take into account the individual teams quality and almost certainly not how the game is going. It'll be statistical analysis of common scenarios (x down and y yards to go) and what is the likelihood of a positive result for each option (punt/FG, go for it). That's why I said above, ignore the analytics, consider how well you've done against that D so far. Even if the general odds are in favour of teh risk, as a coach you have to know what YOUR likelihood of success for each scenario is. We were not converting enough 3rd and 4th downs, so kicking the FG made sense 2 ways; 1) you don't have a pointless drive and the impact that has on the team 2) you have the chance to bottle up their O again (which we did) and then the worst scoring outcome is a tying FG. If you tie, you're going into OT with the momentum (having totally outscored them in the 2nd half) so hopefully you have a great chance of winning. Going for it on 4th and 8 is not a hill I'd want to be dying on.