Quote:
Originally Posted by Sheriff Gonna Getcha
I personally think luck does matter in all sports, but it does not explain how many teams are consistently good or consistently bad within each season and also from season to season. IMHO, a combination of talent, preparation, intelligence, and hard work is the difference between a good team and a bad one.
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SGG pretty much has it right.
If your team loses 10 or more games every year for 6 years (*cough--DETROIT--cough*), I mean...yeah you are getting unlucky, but there is probably a much bigger factor in your failure. Maybe your GM keeps picking overrated WRs every year while ignoring blatent future needs.
But football seasons are 16 games long. That is a VERY small sample size. So you can get weak teams like the Saints who buy consistency at some key positions, get a lot of guys back from injury, and get a lot of balls bouncing their way, and go 10-6 with a playoff win.
Even more specifically, the playoffs are 3-4 games long. I would estimate the the best team in the playoff tournament wins the SB about 1/3 of the time. As mentioned above, SD may have very well been the best team. They did almost everything they could against the Pats to beat them into the ground, but lady luck just wasn't with them on that day. And because it was a playoff game instead of a regular season game, they can no longer win the SB, all because of a series of whacked out occurences.