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Re: SGG's Pick the President Poll
Here's why I think Edwards is going to the next President (using my easy-to-read lists):
(1) John Edwards is leading all his opponents by at least 20 friggin points in Iowa right now. Iowa definately doesn't guarantee a victory, but it gives candidates a lot of momentum heading into New Hampshire and beyond.
(2) I think that the U.S. is, on the whole, ready for an African-American president, but there are enough people who won't vote for Obama because of his race to make a difference in what is going to be a tight race. Throw in his admission to using cocaine and his name (yes, even his name) and it's enough to kill his candidacy among a large enough segment of the population.
(3) Bill Clinton is despised by a lot of Americans, but I know that most Americans would just about kill be back in the 1990s. Hillary's connection to "the good ole' days" are enough to make her a viable candidate. But, in the end, she is Bill Clinton minus the charisma...and Bill's charisma carried him a long way.
(4) If Edwards decides to stay in the race, his wife's cancer will definately make him sympathetic to the all-important soccer-mom vote.
(5) Edwards is young, bright, charismatic, Bill-esque, and very optimistic and positive. I don't even really know where he stands on most issues and maybe he doesn't even know, but superficial things go a long way in politics.
(6) If Edwards doesn't have a chance in the South, do Obama or Hillary stand to fare much better? I'm not asking a rhetorical question. I actually want to know how Edwards stands in the polls in the South compared to Obama and Hillary.
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