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KLHJ2 · 08-22-2007, 04:49 AM

With all of this talk about QB's I did a little research this evening. Some of it is random so bear with me.

First I realized that 2002 was the year of the Career Back up QB, and that is being generous. Of all the 16 QB's that were drafted in 2002 only 8 are still in the league to this day. Of those 8 only 7 actually play QB. Of those 7 only 2 may be starting this year, Harrington and McCown (Due largely to lack of a better player). Only 1 of 3 QB's drafted in the first round that year are starting this year (Harrington thanks to Vick). Those that aren't starting are the number 2 for their club until you get past the 4th round. Of those late round QB's still active, none of them are any higher than a number three QB. The one active 7th rounder is now a starting Wide Receiver with Oakland.

I brought 2002 up because it resembles the average NFL QB Draft class and is far enough back to somewhat evaluate active players fairly. If the trend from 2002 holds true for 2007, then our little Jordan Palmer will be nothing more than a 3rd stringer in five years if he is lucky enough to be in the league. If that isn't enough to make a believer out of you then consider this. Never in the history of the NFL has a 6th round QB been inducted in the HOF. There are only 4 QB's ever drafted past the 6th round to be inducted (Unitas 9th, Staubach 10th, Blanda 12th and Star 17th). Only once has an Undrafted QB been worthy of induction (Warren Moon).

My point is this Jordan Palmer is a long shot to even stay in the league past 2 years. To suggest that we would be wise to get rid of Collins or Brunell because of this 6th round rookie is absurd. To get rid of Brunell because of his hefty contract and replace him with someone cheaper with some experience makes more sense. Palmer should stay on the practice Squad all year and compete for a backup role next season if at all. While I agree that we should develop the young guy do you really want him backing up Collins or Brunell in the event that Campbell goes down this year?

I know somebody is going to mention the fact that Tom Brady was a 6th round pick and is an outstanding QB. To you I say you are correct, but as I've mentioned before it is very rare for a QB drafted that low to amount to anything. Tom Brady was already the excecption to the rule for this generation. It is highly unlikely that Jordan Palmer will be the next Tom Brady.

08-22-2007, 04:49 AM	#14
KLHJ2 Inactive Join Date: Jan 2005 Location: DC Metro Area Age: 47 Posts: 5,829	Re: Would You Play Campbell vs Ravens? With all of this talk about QB's I did a little research this evening. Some of it is random so bear with me. First I realized that 2002 was the year of the Career Back up QB, and that is being generous. Of all the 16 QB's that were drafted in 2002 only 8 are still in the league to this day. Of those 8 only 7 actually play QB. Of those 7 only 2 may be starting this year, Harrington and McCown (Due largely to lack of a better player). Only 1 of 3 QB's drafted in the first round that year are starting this year (Harrington thanks to Vick). Those that aren't starting are the number 2 for their club until you get past the 4th round. Of those late round QB's still active, none of them are any higher than a number three QB. The one active 7th rounder is now a starting Wide Receiver with Oakland. I brought 2002 up because it resembles the average NFL QB Draft class and is far enough back to somewhat evaluate active players fairly. If the trend from 2002 holds true for 2007, then our little Jordan Palmer will be nothing more than a 3rd stringer in five years if he is lucky enough to be in the league. If that isn't enough to make a believer out of you then consider this. Never in the history of the NFL has a 6th round QB been inducted in the HOF. There are only 4 QB's ever drafted past the 6th round to be inducted (Unitas 9th, Staubach 10th, Blanda 12th and Star 17th). Only once has an Undrafted QB been worthy of induction (Warren Moon). My point is this Jordan Palmer is a long shot to even stay in the league past 2 years. To suggest that we would be wise to get rid of Collins or Brunell because of this 6th round rookie is absurd. To get rid of Brunell because of his hefty contract and replace him with someone cheaper with some experience makes more sense. Palmer should stay on the practice Squad all year and compete for a backup role next season if at all. While I agree that we should develop the young guy do you really want him backing up Collins or Brunell in the event that Campbell goes down this year? I know somebody is going to mention the fact that Tom Brady was a 6th round pick and is an outstanding QB. To you I say you are correct, but as I've mentioned before it is very rare for a QB drafted that low to amount to anything. Tom Brady was already the excecption to the rule for this generation. It is highly unlikely that Jordan Palmer will be the next Tom Brady.