Commanders Post at The Warpath - View Single Post

SC Skins Fan · 01-02-2008, 09:40 AM

The Curse of 370 is real, but you can't worry about that now. Darksets makes a good point and 325 carries is a lot, but it is actually usually a fairly typical number for lead backs. In Denver Portis used to only carry 270 times, but in 2005 he had 340 carries.

Here's something to look into, does The Curse of 370 hold when backs get 370 carries INCLUDING the post-season? I would bet that many backs who go through multiple post-season games end up with 370+ carries for the season. I think, however, that the 370 carry mark holds only for the number of regular season carries (and then post-season carries on top of that).

EDIT:

Found an answer to the question. Looks like post-season carries do count (which I guess makes sense ... duh). Like I said, can't worry about that now but it will bear watching next year. It's not a totally ridiculous thread, IMHO, but not much to be done at this point in time. I'm also not 100% convinced by the numbers and wonder if the causal link is that direct. I think other factors must be involved as well.

FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Football analysis and NFL stats for the Moneyball era - Authors of Pro Football Prospectus 2007

01-02-2008, 09:40 AM	#28
SC Skins Fan The Starter Join Date: Apr 2005 Location: South Carolina Posts: 1,555	Re: Clinton Portis' Workload The Curse of 370 is real, but you can't worry about that now. Darksets makes a good point and 325 carries is a lot, but it is actually usually a fairly typical number for lead backs. In Denver Portis used to only carry 270 times, but in 2005 he had 340 carries. Here's something to look into, does The Curse of 370 hold when backs get 370 carries INCLUDING the post-season? I would bet that many backs who go through multiple post-season games end up with 370+ carries for the season. I think, however, that the 370 carry mark holds only for the number of regular season carries (and then post-season carries on top of that). EDIT: Found an answer to the question. Looks like post-season carries do count (which I guess makes sense ... duh). Like I said, can't worry about that now but it will bear watching next year. It's not a totally ridiculous thread, IMHO, but not much to be done at this point in time. I'm also not 100% convinced by the numbers and wonder if the causal link is that direct. I think other factors must be involved as well. FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Football analysis and NFL stats for the Moneyball era - Authors of Pro Football Prospectus 2007 __________________ It has taken a long time, but I have finally realized that nothing I say about the Redskins will have any effect upon anything the Redskins do.