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Re: Early W/L offseason predictions (any team)...
There are four "wins" on the Redskins schedule and four "losses" on it**
**I define a 'win' and a 'loss' statistically. A game is considered a "win" if the Redskins season (by my projections) point differential is +35 at home, or if it is +65 on the road. Likewise, I consider a game a loss if the season projected point differential is -35 on the road, or -65 at home.
Of course, that doesn't mean the Redskins will win or lose any particular game, that's not the goal of my system. The only goal of my system is to look at every team over the course of the season, and see how many games they are totally overmatched/should dominate in. By simply doing this, I can put together a big picture idea of how each team will do, which is the goal. Just to get close.
The most likely outcome of this season is 8-8, but anywhere from 6-10 wins seems reasonable to say. I don't think 10 wins will take the NFC East, but it should be good enough for a wild card.
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according to a source with knowledge of the situation.
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