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Old 07-12-2008, 11:35 PM   #46
SmootSmack
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 45,256
Re: Should the Redskins take a run at Favre?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Schneed10 View Post
That's an "if" so big it's not even worth discussing on a hypothetical level. You can't look at it that way. You're approaching a cost/benefit analysis as if the benefit is already in hand.

You have to evaluate the chances you'll gain said benefit against the chances you'll end up with said costs. The costs are high (Campbell's development, confidence) and the chances of said benefit (Super Bowl) are infinetesimal.

Brett Favre in recent "first years" in a new offensive system:

Mike Sherman, 2000
3812 yards, 20 TDs, 16 INTs, 58.3%, 78.0 QB rating

Mike McCarthy, 2006
3885 yards, 18 TD, 18 INT, 56.0%, 72.7 QB rating

Average performance. In a new system, the QB HARDLY EVER has a great season. Why do so many on this site want to just ignore this hard fact?? If our QB, whether Favre or Campbell or GTripp for crying out loud, has a high chance of having a rough season, why make it a guy who's likely to retire in one year when you could have the guy who needs to learn do it?

I can't believe this conversation is actually taking place. Maybe you mods are just trying to stir up some real conversation since we've been so lacking of it recently. But jeez, it's like you guys have lost your minds.
To be clear, I don't want him here and I undoubtedly realize it's a huge "if" that he'd win us a Super Bowl. However, it's not often a Brett Favre becomes potentially available so the question is probably worth asking and I was simply asking what the "opportunity cost" of winning a SB now would be for everyone.
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