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Old 07-21-2008, 11:22 AM   #190
jdlea
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Arlington, VA
Age: 41
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Re: Redskins trade for Jason Taylor (updated)

Quote:
Originally Posted by GTripp0012 View Post
Well, the average production of a 2nd round pick tends to give a team between 2 and 3 wins over the life of his rookie contract, which is what I was referencing. A star in the making is obviously going to produce much more, and a bust will produce near nothing.

I don't want to make it seem like the team is incapable of picking a bust, but they've done a good job with the draft thus far in the last 5 years.

I don't think Taylor is going to be here and productive long enough to give us value on our 2nd round pick. I really, really would love to be proven wrong here, of course. It's just that I've seen this episode before, and I'm less than impressed at the sequel.

Taylor is still a pass rushing force, which should give the team an extra 7-8 sacks over what they would have gotten with Evans. Next year, Evans and Daniels will probably move on, and we'll have to replace them with the draft. That's when it would have been really nice to have a 2nd round pick to do so with.

One thing I will point out is that Vinny Cerrato is confident that Jason Taylor will not only play out the contract, but probably even extended in Washington. If that happens, how will your opinion change?

NOTE: I do disagree with you on this issue, but this post is not an attack. I find your use of metric intriguing and would like to know your answer on this subject.

As an aside: are you a baseball fan at all? Just wondering because metrics are used heavily in player evaluation in baseball.
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