Quote:
Originally Posted by GTripp0012
If we shop Campbell, how are other teams supposed to value him? We don't have a QB on our roster who can handle the position currently, so we would be right back in the free agent market (Where Leftwich is as good a solution as any). If it's a sellers market, and no buyers are willing to throw in more than a second rounder, I'd tell them to get lost.
The undertone to your argument is that Campbell's eventual failure in Zorn's offense is inevitable, but you haven't defended that with anything but hearsay and speculation. Lots of people on this fourm (myself included) do disagree with the premise that you have presented, citing measurable evidence such as improved QB rating and pass efficiency in 2008. While it's theoretically possible that you are right, the "lots of people will disagree with me" angle just isn't all that convincing.
Your proposal is another 2nd round pick in trade for a ton of unnecessary offensive turnover, at the most fundamental positions on the team plus tons of unquantifiable scouting uncertainties that come with the change. Is it worth it? Maybe, but it seems like a lot of accounting work just to prove we might be able to break even.
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P.S. Past work I've done on this fourm and on my blog has estimated (roughly) that the average expectation for a 2nd round pick is somewhere between 2-3 wins (over replacement) over the life of a rookie contract. That's roughly Campbell's 2008 value alone, depending on whose metrics you deal with.
While a rough analysis is certainly not a be all end all, it's a tough, tough mountain to climb to prove that making Byron Leftwich the Skins starting QB right now is the best move for the Washington Redskins.
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Got to tell you GT i think a lot of times your posts shed light on our discussions around here. Way too many Skins fans somehow ignore the significant improvement JC made from '07 to '08 within the context of a brand new system to boot. His footwork got better, his control of the ball to avoid fumbles was drastically improved and he began to make quicker decisions (especially moving the ball with his own two legs). There is no logical reasoning that says he won't make strides again this year and even in the things we know are weaknesses, like delivery time and accuracy (bigger targets are going to help that IMO). Bottom line is it strikes me as ABSURD to write the kid off when the consensus is it takes a couple years to get up to speed in the WCO and JC works his tail off to improve.