[Paintrain]

I'm surprised to see so many people think Campbell won't be back in '10. Snyder's money is burning a hole in his pocket to spend on a franchise QB. I think a nice chemistry is going to build with JC, Moss, Kelly and Cooley, enough so for a nice mid level 3 year extension. His chances to come back are probably 70-30.

The other factor is viable options. This is not a team that can draft a rookie QB and let him develop. The top NFL ready options next offseason via trade are probably Tavaris Jackson, Kellen Clemens, Derek Anderson or Tyler Thigpen. The top options in FA are Kyle Boller, Josh McCown and Sage Rosenfels. The reality is none of them is an upgrade from the JC we see today, even with no 2009 improvements.

To me, Zorn has less than a 50% chance of returning with 9 wins or less. There's too much temptation for Snyder and with a glimmer from the offense he's going to see an inferno if he can bring in a Shanahan or Gruden who is not going to change the offense, but enhance it. Zorn's got to win 10 to return. FWIW, I'm calling 10-6 but won't be surprised if there's a press conference in Ashburn next February.