Commanders Post at The Warpath - View Single Post - The Redskins are headed South Fast....To Carolina that is.

hooskins · 10-21-2011, 11:28 AM

Freddy, so you think the Skins have systemically been "relaxing" the weeks they face rookie quarterbacks? Or that when we play rookies the football gods tilt the game in the favor of the rookies? No. We have lost a ton of games and nothing "special" occurs when we play rookies.

A correlation does not mean causation. The sample is way too low and even if it were high doesn't mean much. Ex. people with more literature in their houses tend to have more successful children. Does that mean if you buy a ton of books and leave them in your house your child will be better off? No. Educated folks tend to push their children harder, have access to better opportunities for their kids, etc. therefore their children tend to succeed too. Their kids may love to read, but just reading or access to books isn't what determines success (citation:Freakanomics).

Same applies here. A more telling stat is that since our last Superbowl appearance Skins have been 131-172-1. That is a win percentage a bit over 43% out of 304 games. We aren't even a coin-flip team and this organization has had systemic issues the last 2 decades. Over the long run, with a .57 losing percentage losing 6 games isn't anything. There are so many other variables in each of those games that are not isolated to make any conclusions about an opponents years of experience impacting the win/loss. It's just another pointless "stat" that doesn't show anything.

10-21-2011, 11:28 AM	#60
hooskins Most Interesting Man in the World Join Date: Dec 2005 Location: Chantilly, VA Age: 39 Posts: 8,606	Re: The Redskins are headed South Fast....To Carolina that is. Freddy, so you think the Skins have systemically been "relaxing" the weeks they face rookie quarterbacks? Or that when we play rookies the football gods tilt the game in the favor of the rookies? No. We have lost a ton of games and nothing "special" occurs when we play rookies. A correlation does not mean causation. The sample is way too low and even if it were high doesn't mean much. Ex. people with more literature in their houses tend to have more successful children. Does that mean if you buy a ton of books and leave them in your house your child will be better off? No. Educated folks tend to push their children harder, have access to better opportunities for their kids, etc. therefore their children tend to succeed too. Their kids may love to read, but just reading or access to books isn't what determines success (citation:Freakanomics). Same applies here. A more telling stat is that since our last Superbowl appearance Skins have been 131-172-1. That is a win percentage a bit over 43% out of 304 games. We aren't even a coin-flip team and this organization has had systemic issues the last 2 decades. Over the long run, with a .57 losing percentage losing 6 games isn't anything. There are so many other variables in each of those games that are not isolated to make any conclusions about an opponents years of experience impacting the win/loss. It's just another pointless "stat" that doesn't show anything.