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#1 |
The Starter
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 1,363
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Don's Crystal Ball 2010 Week 3 Picks
THE DON'S Crystal Ball 2010 SEASON WEEK 3 PICKS By DonCanabis/TheDon Analyst/Godfather ![]() With 2 weeks down the season is officially on its way. We already have seen surprises, some huge disappointments, bad teams overachieving and good teams just completely lost. If Week 2 was important because only 13% of teams starting 0-2 have made the playoffs since 1990 imagine being 0-3. The best case of how a bad start can hurt you its last year’s Tennessee Titans. After falling 0-6 and despite having a great run the early loses where just too much for them to overcome Quick Hits
On to the games San Francisco at Kansas City 3 Ovr/Und 36 I was surprised when I saw the line for this game, I expected to call this game an upset just to find out Kansas City is the underdog in this match. You know you get no respect when you’re undefeated playing against a winless team at home and still you’re called the underdog. The reality is, The area that gets no respect of the Chiefs is their offense and will have huge problems against the San Francisco defense. Straight: SF Spread: SF Ovr/Und: Und Tennessee at New York Giants -3 Ovr/Und 42.5 I had a little trouble with this match, New York’s front seven which is supposed to be filled with all stars made Joseph Addai look like Chris Johnson last week. So now that they’re actually facing the real CJ I don’t know what to expect. I’m going to go out of a limb and scratch last week’s loss because baby bro was playing against big bro and expect the Giants to play better at home. Straight: NYG Spread: NYG Ovr/Und: OVR Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay -3 Ovr/Und 33 I’m impressed on what the Steelers have done without their starting to QB, heck right now with how good the defense is playing they could even win with their 5th QB H.Ward… Even thou Tampa Bay has shown a lot of maturity for a really young team this defense will be too much for them to handle. Straight: Pit Spread: Pit Ovr/Und: Und Detroit at Minnesota -11 Ovr/Und 42 Minnesota is not playing well at all and to give them double digits with both Berrian and Harvin banged up it’s just ridiculous. The Lions front seven lead the league in sacks and pressure, Favre still looks bad out there. So take the home team to find a way to win the game but take the points. Straight: Min Spread: Det Ovr/Und: Ovr Atlanta at New Orleans -4 Ovr/Und 49.5 UPSET OF THE WEEK These two teams usually play close in fact in the past 4 meetings the difference in score between both teams is 1. The Saints offense hasn’t clicked yet and playing in a short week after a hard game Monday night without one of their playmakers tells me to pick their division rivals on this one. Straight: Atl Spread: Atl Ovr/Und: Und Cleveland at Baltimore -10.5 Ovr/Und 37 Baltimore’s running game will shine this week, the ravens usually beat Cleveland by double digits so don’t be afraid by the line. Take the home team and the over on this one. Straight: Bal Spread: Bal Ovr/Und: Ovr Buffalo at New England -14 Ovr/Und 42.5 I don’t like taking the lines of games when they’re so big because one mistake and you’re on the outside looking in. But I picked GB last week with a 13 point line against the Bills so I shouldn’t be worried this week. The Bills are just a disaster all around and the Patriots come back from an awful loss to the Jets so I expect them to recover this week. Straight:NE Spread:NE Ovr/Und:OVR Cincinnati at Carolina 3 Ovr/Und 38 I know that the Panthers are running out of options but I don’t know if this is the best week to start the rookie QB. Take Cincinnati and the points this team is playing more as a team each week. I expect them to show their offensive power this week. Straight: Cin Spread: Cin Ovr/Und: Ovr Dallas at Houston -3 Ovr/Und 47 UPSET OF THE WEEK I changed my mind a lot on this game and almost went with the split pick. At the end I decided to go with Dallas based on the tendencies of the past year and start of this one of improbable upsets. Houston is coming from a huge come from behind victory that might made this team over confident. Dallas is playing their season this week; they have a lot more in the line. So I go with the desperate team on this one. Straight:Dal Spread: Dal Ovr/Und: Und Washington at St. Louis 3.5 Ovr/Und 38.5 The Redskins are playing better but they find ways to complicate games each week so that worries me. The Rams really don’t have any weapons and have huge holes but they’re playing at home and you have to take that into account. The Half a point might make the difference in this one but still take the redskins ad the Under. Straight:Was Spread: Was Ovr/Und: Und Philadelphia at Jacksonville 3 Ovr/Und 44.5 M.Vick it’s playing at a high level and his style of play helps the shaky Philadelphia’s Oline I don’t know if he will regress to old habits but I do expect him to make some mistakes. Take the Eagles and the under on this one. Straight: Phi Spread: Phi Ovr/Und: Und San Diego at Seattle 5.5 Ovr/Und 48 San Diego completely over matches Seattle but the long travel weather and the injury to Matthews could play a factor on this one being close. If the Seahawks can find a way to neutralize A. Gates like The Chief did they have a shot in this one. . Straight: SD Spread: Sea Ovr/Und: Und Oakland at Arizona : -4 Ovr/Und 39 These are the type of games nobody wants to call both teams have good running game and shaky QB’s. I expect a close that could go either way but I give the advantage to the home team on this one. Straight:Ari Spread:Oak Ovr/Und: Und Indianapolis at Denver : 5.5 Ovr/Und 48 Both teams played really well last week and I expect the same this week, high scoring game but the Colts win by a 10. Straight: Ind Spread: Ind Ovr/Und: Ovr New York Jets at Miami : -2.5 Ovr/Und 35 Miami is the only team that has found holes in Rex’s defense so I expect him to take this game personally. I like how Sanchez controlled the game last week the bad thing is that Sanchez usually follows a good game with a bad one. Miami’s offense hasn’t clicked yet so even with the low line take the under on this one. Straight: NYJ Spread: NYJ Ovr/Und: Und Green Bay at Chicago : 3 Ovr/Und 46 Not even the Bears players expected to start the season 2-0, so don’t get fooled by the record. Chicago Oline is really bad and they have survived by playing screens and quick throws to their TE. With 2 weeks of tape I expect the Packers defense to be in Cutlers face all day just like Dallas was in the first quarter… The Difference is that Green Bay’s defense can provoke turnovers and will be the key to the game. Straight: GB Spread: GB Ovr/Und: Ovr The Hot Picks Record 5-7 42% Washington (league) Detroit (league) Baltimore (league) Green Bay Pittsburgh Cincinnati Don’s Prediction League Leaders
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#2 |
Living Legend
Join Date: Aug 2008
Age: 58
Posts: 21,593
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I, for one, am shockedd amazed that Dallas was picked both as straight up and against the spread. I would never have thought D'Boyz might choose them...
[/sarcasm) |
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#3 |
Pro Bowl
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 6,052
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It's all about "hope".
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Analysis using datasets (aka stats) is an attempt at reverse-engineering a player's "goodness". Virtuosity remembered, douchebaggery forgotten. The ideal character profile shoved down modern Western men and women's throats is Don Juan. |
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#4 | |
The Starter
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 1,363
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball 2010 Week 3 Picks
Quote:
If I picked them to win the Game I have to pick them to win the spread.... look I knew I was going to get a lot of crap for that pick. Specially here were everyone knows I'm a Cowboys fan. But I took it like I take any other game. Like I called Atlanta over NO. Sometimes teams that are expected to lose win the game. Specially in week 3 when seasons are on the line |
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#5 | |
Living Legend
Join Date: Aug 2008
Age: 58
Posts: 21,593
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Quote:
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#6 |
The Starter
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 1,525
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball 2010 Week 3 Picks
I hope the Cowboys lose otherwise the hype wagon will start up once again!
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#7 |
Living Legend
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: chesapeake, va
Age: 61
Posts: 15,817
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball 2010 Week 3 Picks
Goat of the week is D Boys picking the F'ing fag boys. I find it hard to believe that a Dallas fag fan has the gule to come here and call our game the goat of the week. Take your picks and go F your Loosing ass cowboys.
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#8 |
Living Legend
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 22,369
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball 2010 Week 3 Picks
Trying to look at it objectively, the game against the Cowboys could be a trap game for the Texans. The just got two huge wins against the Colts and the Redskins (and I say huge win against us because they came back to win the game), they are being hyped by just about everyone, meanwhile the media is down on the Cowpukes. Personally, I wish the Pukes would lose, but I can see them escaping this one with a W.
Also, I don't see Atlanta beating the Saints as an upset. Atlanta has been playing well and the Saints haven't.
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R.I.P. #21 |
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#9 |
Living Legend
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: chesapeake, va
Age: 61
Posts: 15,817
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball 2010 Week 3 Picks
Texans have too much to prove to not take it to Dallas. They want to be the team in Texas and not the sorry ass D Boys. That just sounds so fing gay DBoys.
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#10 | |
Impact Rookie
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: Charleston, SC
Posts: 681
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball 2010 Week 3 Picks
Quote:
__________________
---HAIL!!!--- |
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#11 |
Pro Bowl
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Parkton, MD
Posts: 5,779
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball 2010 Week 3 Picks
Hate to tell you, but the Texans could win this game by three touchdowns and they still wouldn't be THE team in texas.
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#12 |
The Starter
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 1,363
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball 2010 Week 3 Picks
It's an upset based on the vegas line, and I agree with you that's why I took Atlanta... Still Atlanta had an awful with 1 loss so you never know which team will show up. Saints have been bad but have found ways to win
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#13 | |
Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Detroit area
Posts: 4,153
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball 2010 Week 3 Picks
Quote:
Dude, a lot of media folks concurred with D Boys about our collapse against Houston, and it was definitely a Goat nominee for last week. It just looks bad since he is a Cowboys fan and picks the Boys over Houston. I still think Houston wins that game, but it will be another squeeker like our game with them last week. |
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#14 | |
The Starter
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 1,363
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball 2010 Week 3 Picks
Quote:
I can take the shit some bring because is expected, but the real replace reason I came in the first place was to give and get a different perspective someone will get in a fan site, were everyone loves their team even when they're sucking. I just come here to talk football not just Redskins and Cowboys but football in general and as a board we have had some great debates and there's a lot of great members. Over the years we play against each others in FF and a prediction league. So taking the subject back Dallas has been a complete embarrassment the first two week. Just pathetic, they have underestimated both opponent and come out and think that just by showing up they could win. I can't Defend that team because is stupid that with the talent it has they can't even score 2 TD's (offense) per game. The Goat of the week is directed to either the player or team that cost them the chance to win or a clear victory. Last week your team lost a 17 point lead at almost the end of the 3rd Quarter against a tough opponent and let Houston tie the game with a desperation pass... That's why your team got the Goat title... Last week it was A. Barron of the Cowboys |
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#15 | |
The Starter
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 1,363
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball 2010 Week 3 Picks
Quote:
Yeah Gus I agree I almost went Houston Straight up, Dallas Spread but since the Spread was only 3 points I thought it would be a safe and easy a approach. So I decided to go all in |
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