The only two Good Decisions Jim Zorn Made vs St. Louis

[30gut]

Originally Posted by GTripp0012

Are chronicled here:

Advanced NFL Stats: Jim Zorn on 4th Down

I'm not sure how that author gets the numbers for his 'model' so its hard for me to put much faith in his 'model' but using his own metrics:

Short yardage conversion attempts near the goal line are less successful than elsewhere on the field.
One-yard conversions are successful 68% of the time

Where a FG:

A FG attempt from that distance is virtually automatic—99%.

All that matters imo are the odds for success of the play at hand and we went with the lesser option.