Reason for (Cautious) Optimism

[Beemnseven]

For the record, I predicted a sqeaker of a win against the Vikings, a loss to the Cowboys, and another squeaker of a win in Houston.

My best week so far in picking the games straight up was Week 2 ... I was 11-4. I sucked with my picks in Weeks 1 and 3.

Yeah, I'm pessimistic this week. I look at what the Jags did to Pittsburgh's "Fast" Willie Parker and that vaunted Steeler O-line -- held them to 26 yards rushing. Then, take a look at what they did to Peyton Manning and the Colts in Indy: 48 yards rushing, and limited Manning's production to a very un-Peyton like 14 for 31 and 219 yards passing.

Now tell me, what in anyone's right mind could convince me that our offense -- which struggled against the Vikings, was stopped cold in Dallas, with all the penalties they've racked up -- can run the ball, and pass it effectively against Stroud, Henderson and the other guys that make up one of the top defenses in the league?

I've seen nothing to make me believe otherwise. The only thing I can hope for is for the Jags to have an "off" day.