Election predictions thread

[SmootSmack]

Originally Posted by Mattyk72

Obama advances to 8-point lead among “traditional likely voters”

The political landscape could be improving for Barack Obama in the waning days of the campaign. Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Oct. 28-30 shows him with an eight percentage point lead over John McCain among traditional likely voters -- 51% to 43% -- his largest margin to date using this historical Gallup Poll voter model.

Obama's current 11-point lead over McCain among all registered voters -- 52% to 41% -- is up from an eight-point lead in yesterday's report, and ties his highest advantage on this basis, last recorded 10 days ago. (To view the complete trend since March 7, 2008, click here.)

The danger for Obama is that many of his supporters see these polls and think "It's in the bag, I'll just stay home and watch that SNL skit online again" and meanwhile, McCain supporters are actually getting out there and voting.