Someone good at math...

[cpayne5]

Originally Posted by hooskins

thats .5^12 then right. If the prob of winning each game is 50 percent.

No. 2 possible outcomes for 12 games. 2^12. .5^12 is a tiny number.

Adding a tie to the mix changes the numbers significantly. You could use your judgment to minimize the risks of a tie, though, but the results wouldn't be a sure thing, obviously. ie, you may lose a ton of money.