Peyton Manning or RGIII your choice

[30gut]

Originally Posted by biffle

'50% of 1st round QBs succeed' is a statistic.

Using that to say 'Griffin has a 50% chance of success' is a terrible use of that statistic. And using it as a basis for draft decisions even more so.

I tried to show you examples to illustrate that, but it seemed pretty clear you weren't going to listen regardless so I gave up.

C'mon now you're gonna play semantics?
Dude just use the quote feature.
My statement is as I intend is right here:

With Griffin the gamble is the same as with any rookie QB where historically the success rate is right around 50/50 its even lower when using the 'franchise' QB or 'elite' QB label as the measure of success

No need to add or spin it or make assumptions from it.

And again:

Originally Posted by 30gut

And the larger point, which is lost on you, is that Peyton Manning has already proven himself to be what we hope Griffin will become.