Vox.com: How NFL teams ignore basic economics and draft players irrationally.

[GTripp0012]

The simplified approach always seems to be the most effective in the draft. It's not that drafting requires zero skill, because then first rounders wouldn't be any more productive than other rounds. It does require some skill. But given how typically bad are NFL teams are with drafting, it makes no sense to be overconfident about your own drafting abilities.

If you can tell the difference between a good player and a bad player in the draft, you're ahead of the curve. Don't get too concerned with upside, character, positional need, or whatever. Just take the best player. It's pretty easy.