Vox.com: How NFL teams ignore basic economics and draft players irrationally.

[irish]

I do find it interesting that almost everything this article says a team should do the Skins dont do. Maybe that's why they have been so bad for so long.

[NC_Skins]

I think some of you are missing the big picture. It's not just about the RGIII trade. It's about increasing your chances of succeeding, and you can do that through having more draft picks. Egotistical front offices burn their picks for a coveted player while the smarter ones (with good scouting) gather additional picks to have more chances of hitting that home run.

The draft is one big lottery. It's a crap shoot. A 1st rounder could easily bust, and a 6th rounder could become a hall of famer. Again, which would you rather have? One lottery ticket or five lottery tickets? Which one will give you a higher chance at winning the lottery? (clue: it's the five tickets)

Smart front offices keep their picks or trade them for more picks. Bad front offices trade their picks for particular players.

[takethecake]

Originally Posted by NC_Skins

Smart front offices keep their picks or trade them for more picks. Bad front offices trade their picks for particular players.

Yes, this is the takeaway. A supplement to this is the philosophy of letting your UFAs walk instead of overpaying to keep them. A compensatory pick and cap space almost always puts you in a better spot than paying dannell ellerbe $7 mil/year lol. Likewise, some teams are vastly better than others at realizing when a player's nearing the end, and recouping some value for them via trade. If you want to be a successful GM in the nfl, following those two tenets will get you a long way.

And for the record, you can't declare winners and losers in the rg3 trade yet, and especially not via division titles. Pretty sure the NFC east doesn't have the 49ers and seahawks...

[TenandSix:Unacceptable]

Originally Posted by takethecake

Yes, this is the takeaway. A supplement to this is the philosophy of letting your UFAs walk instead of overpaying to keep them. A compensatory pick and cap space almost always puts you in a better spot than paying dannell ellerbe $7 mil/year lol. Likewise, some teams are vastly better than others at realizing when a player's nearing the end, and recouping some value for them via trade. If you want to be a successful GM in the nfl, following those two tenets will get you a long way.

And for the record, you can't declare winners and losers in the rg3 trade yet, and especially not via division titles. Pretty sure the NFC east doesn't have the 49ers and seahawks...

I've been saying this for years and the primo examples for me we're Jon Jansen and Randy Thomas.

I will also agree with the 'mo picks 'mo better philosophy, however I believe going after QB is perhaps the exception. I think the first thing you do when you are building a team is go out and get your QB. And not wait. Do the research and get your number one choice whatever it takes. We did that with RG3 and it was about damn time and I'm OK with it if it fails. I just hope they have the stones to do it again if it does.

[Giantone]

Originally Posted by NC_Skins

Smart front offices keep their picks or trade them for more picks. Bad front offices trade their picks for particular players.

That's is one opinion and there are situations that prove it wrong .