How the draft looks if we trade down

[IrMitchell]

Originally Posted by Monksdown

BPA only works if you develop a formula to measure skill and secondary positions against linemen. That is a difficult proposition without a solid formula to establish a value rating system that allows all positions to remain on the same scale. I think rating systems like that are too arbitrary inherently and it's more important to draft from a weighted BPA system. you establish your needs in order, and then multiply the players grade's by the their positions weighted need within your predetermined 'needs'. This allows the best of both worlds. And if nothing else gives you a frame of reference when making intelligent decisions come draft day.

You need a Billy Bean kind of mind to run these figures for you.

If I've learned anything since following the Redskins, it's that every person (EXCEPT RB) has a direct correlation between high draft picks and success.

It's no surprise that Trent Williams/Chris Samuels are brilliant while guys like Tom Compton and the other 50 lineman drafted since aren't.

We could spend our fifth pick on any position and it may be enough to shift the talent level and chemistry and bring us to the next level.

EDIT: I guess what I'm trying to say is BPA means exactly what it should. Draft the player you think is the absolute best at his job. It's not easy to differentiate between guys when you have so many resources between tape, combines and practices.

[Monksdown]

Originally Posted by IrMitchell

If I've learned anything since following the Redskins, it's that every person (EXCEPT RB) has a direct correlation between high draft picks and success.

It's no surprise that Trent Williams/Chris Samuels are brilliant while guys like Tom Compton and the other 50 lineman drafted since aren't.

We could spend our fifth pick on any position and it may be enough to shift the talent level and chemistry and bring us to the next level.

EDIT: I guess what I'm trying to say is BPA means exactly what it should. Draft the player you think is the absolute best at his job. It's not easy to differentiate between guys when you have so many resources between tape, combines and practices.

I don't disagree with you at all. But I would argue that two B rated players in a team with multiple needs would have a greater impact on success than an A player.

[IrMitchell]

Originally Posted by Monksdown

I don't disagree with you at all. But I would argue that two B rated players in a team with multiple needs would have a greater impact on success than an A player.

Then you take yourself out of the mix to get a Khalil Mack which I don't think is a smart choice at 4-12.

Remember that premier talent is shortlived in the NFL. Just when you get yourself a Ryan Kerrigan, Brian Orakpo is gone. You don't get a lot of chances at that pool of players.