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Re: Underdogs?
The point spread has nothing to do with who is more or less likey to win.... or what the bookey thinks the score will be. The point spread is to make half the betting on each team. Then the bookey makes money on the margin. For example if the Skins were playing the Raiders, I(the bookey) personally think the Skins would win and most likely by at a TD. However I will make the line 4 1/2 because I check my charts on how the betting goes team by team and I see that people like to bet the Raiders. Perhaps it is because people in Cali have more money, like to bet more than most, or Raiders fans are all a little bit off their rockers. If after a couple of days I see alot of betting on one side or the other(say 55% vs 45%) I will adjust the spread to ecourage betting on the other team.
The point is that the line has little basis on the outcome.
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