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Coronavirus (non political)

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Old 04-14-2020, 06:00 AM   #1
SolidSnake84
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Re: Coronavirus (non political)

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I just bought a foot diameter roll of toilet paper with about a 4" hole in the middle. They had them at the local country store for $3. It seems ok, I might grab a few more. I don't want to burn though my typical two dozen roll inventory. I have read a few stores where they think the TP hoarding will go on for quite some time. The chain supermarkets are still selling their week's supply in less than a half day and they only fill the aisle once and they aren't putting limits on it.
The plant where i work, we have enough toilet paper right now for close to three more months. We can't get any more. We have called vendors all over the country, and we are being told that it will be at least one year before the TP supply goes back to normal. We have closed one set of bathrooms as a result, to try and make it last longer. Almost everyone realizes that once we run out, that's it. There isn't anything we can do about it.
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Old 04-14-2020, 07:13 AM   #2
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Re: Coronavirus (non political)

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The plant where i work, we have enough toilet paper right now for close to three more months. We can't get any more. We have called vendors all over the country, and we are being told that it will be at least one year before the TP supply goes back to normal. We have closed one set of bathrooms as a result, to try and make it last longer. Almost everyone realizes that once we run out, that's it. There isn't anything we can do about it.
Sometimes I think you live in an alternate universe where foom and gloom are actually positive words.

Commercial TP outlets will actually be facing a glut because of all the business shut downs. There are several good articles out on how tp distribution chains and the coronavirus effect on them.

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Old 04-14-2020, 08:16 AM   #3
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Re: Coronavirus (non political)

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Sometimes I think you live in an alternate universe where foom and gloom are actually positive words.

Commercial TP outlets will actually be facing a glut because of all the business shut downs. There are several good articles out on how tp distribution chains and the coronavirus effect on them.

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They won't have a glut if people keep hoarding. Places that normally don't buy from the commercial TP places are buying from them now. The guy that owns the local mini mart is selling commercial rolls now, he wasn't doing that before.
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Old 04-14-2020, 08:40 AM   #4
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Re: Coronavirus (non political)

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They won't have a glut if people keep hoarding. Places that normally don't buy from the commercial TP places are buying from them now. The guy that owns the local mini mart is selling commercial rolls now, he wasn't doing that before.
There was a good article, sorry I don't have the link, that approximated 40% of the TP people use in normal times are commercial grade, meaning in stores/restaurants/businesses etc, not residential grade. These businesses are not using them nearly at that rate right now, and the commercial rolls will eventually be shifted to the residential distribution channels (ie walmarts/food stores/etc) but that will simply be filling the 40% that the commercial normally would have filled.

TP plants apparently run 24/7 through the year, and people aren't going to the toilet more now than before (and if anything are conserving TP to ensure they don't run out), so once the panic buying is over, people are going to find themselves with extra TP on hand, and the plants will continue chugging along making the same quantity as before. Thus a glut.
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Old 04-14-2020, 08:57 AM   #5
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Re: Coronavirus (non political)

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There was a good article, sorry I don't have the link, that approximated 40% of the TP people use in normal times are commercial grade, meaning in stores/restaurants/businesses etc, not residential grade. These businesses are not using them nearly at that rate right now, and the commercial rolls will eventually be shifted to the residential distribution channels (ie walmarts/food stores/etc) but that will simply be filling the 40% that the commercial normally would have filled.

TP plants apparently run 24/7 through the year, and people aren't going to the toilet more now than before (and if anything are conserving TP to ensure they don't run out), so once the panic buying is over, people are going to find themselves with extra TP on hand, and the plants will continue chugging along making the same quantity as before. Thus a glut.
I am not saying that won't eventually happen, but I believe that glut is a long way out. The continued shortages are going to make hoarders out of people that normally would not hoard.
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Old 04-14-2020, 09:07 AM   #6
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Re: Coronavirus (non political)

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I am not saying that won't eventually happen, but I believe that glut is a long way out. The continued shortages are going to make hoarders out of people that normally would not hoard.
Correct, but those "hoarders" aren't going to poop abnormally more than usual, and so they will have TP out coming out there ass once the panic ends (which should be sooner rather than later for people in this reality)

Using myself as an example - I had one 6 pack in the house for me and my son. At Food Lion 2 days ago they had re-stocked. I bought another 9 pack. I now have 15 rolls of TP which is going to last us for a good while. By the time I need to buy another roll of TP we should be well out of this. That means at the next restocking, another would be hoarder will get their safety rolls, and they will be set for longer than they normally would. But Charmin et al aren't going to cut back production, so once the storm has passed, and all these people are left with an oversupply, the system is going to catch up quickly because the demand at that point will be dramatically less.
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Old 04-14-2020, 07:25 AM   #7
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Re: Coronavirus (non political)

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The plant where i work, we have enough toilet paper right now for close to three more months. We can't get any more. We have called vendors all over the country, and we are being told that it will be at least one year before the TP supply goes back to normal. We have closed one set of bathrooms as a result, to try and make it last longer. Almost everyone realizes that once we run out, that's it. There isn't anything we can do about it.
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Old 04-14-2020, 08:11 AM   #8
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Re: Coronavirus (non political)

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Originally Posted by SolidSnake84 View Post
The plant where i work, we have enough toilet paper right now for close to three more months. We can't get any more. We have called vendors all over the country, and we are being told that it will be at least one year before the TP supply goes back to normal. We have closed one set of bathrooms as a result, to try and make it last longer. Almost everyone realizes that once we run out, that's it. There isn't anything we can do about it.
Pretty sure someone in purchasing has heard of McMaster Carr, they sell those industrial sized rolls, and as of right now have stock. Just a couple weeks ago they were quoting 7-8 weeks. It does say they may put limits on purchases.
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