Coronavirus (non political)

[Buffalo Bob]

Originally Posted by CRedskinsRule

There was a good article, sorry I don't have the link, that approximated 40% of the TP people use in normal times are commercial grade, meaning in stores/restaurants/businesses etc, not residential grade. These businesses are not using them nearly at that rate right now, and the commercial rolls will eventually be shifted to the residential distribution channels (ie walmarts/food stores/etc) but that will simply be filling the 40% that the commercial normally would have filled.

TP plants apparently run 24/7 through the year, and people aren't going to the toilet more now than before (and if anything are conserving TP to ensure they don't run out), so once the panic buying is over, people are going to find themselves with extra TP on hand, and the plants will continue chugging along making the same quantity as before. Thus a glut.

I am not saying that won't eventually happen, but I believe that glut is a long way out. The continued shortages are going to make hoarders out of people that normally would not hoard.

[CRedskinsRule]

Originally Posted by Buffalo Bob

I am not saying that won't eventually happen, but I believe that glut is a long way out. The continued shortages are going to make hoarders out of people that normally would not hoard.

Correct, but those "hoarders" aren't going to poop abnormally more than usual, and so they will have TP out coming out there ass once the panic ends (which should be sooner rather than later for people in this reality)

Using myself as an example - I had one 6 pack in the house for me and my son. At Food Lion 2 days ago they had re-stocked. I bought another 9 pack. I now have 15 rolls of TP which is going to last us for a good while. By the time I need to buy another roll of TP we should be well out of this. That means at the next restocking, another would be hoarder will get their safety rolls, and they will be set for longer than they normally would. But Charmin et al aren't going to cut back production, so once the storm has passed, and all these people are left with an oversupply, the system is going to catch up quickly because the demand at that point will be dramatically less.