Why Hasn't Anyone Talked About-A Possible Cancellation?

[MTK]

Yeah a lot can definitely change in 3 months, like 100,000 dead, and that was with shutting everything down.

[SolidSnake84]

Originally Posted by MTK

Yeah a lot can definitely change in 3 months, like 100,000 dead, and that was with shutting everything down.

I know i am the resident doom and gloom / armageddon guy here, but even I think that we will never see another widespread lockdown like what we just endured. I think more likely will be hotspot cities will be quarantined IF there is another flare up. Even Dr. Fauci is now saying that it is not a "given" that we see a resurgance of the virus.

I also think that by next year at this time, Coronavirus has been replaced in the media with whatever else is the big talking point. There will be a risk, sure, but slowly and surely i feel like people are getting more confident by the day.

And that is also one way a pandemic ends, when the population decides that the loss of liberty / quality of life, etc. outweighs the risk of the virus. People at some point will "move on" so to speak and go back to living their every day lives again.

[Pervis_Griffith]

Originally Posted by SolidSnake84

I know i am the resident doom and gloom / armageddon guy here, but even I think that we will never see another widespread lockdown like what we just endured. I think more likely will be hotspot cities will be quarantined IF there is another flare up. Even Dr. Fauci is now saying that it is not a "given" that we see a resurgance of the virus.

I also think that by next year at this time, Coronavirus has been replaced in the media with whatever else is the big talking point. There will be a risk, sure, but slowly and surely i feel like people are getting more confident by the day.

And that is also one way a pandemic ends, when the population decides that the loss of liberty / quality of life, etc. outweighs the risk of the virus. People at some point will "move on" so to speak and go back to living their every day lives again.

Exactly.

When all is said and done, this virus' mortality rates may be 3 times that as the flu. Which would mean that 99.7 per cent of those who get it, survive. People will easily decide that living life will outweigh the risks associated with this form of COVID.

It still sucks to have people die from this ... I lost an aunt and uncle to COVID 19. It's been brutal.

But 0.3% is a far cry from the 3 and 4% some models were predicting back in February/March.

[SolidSnake84]

Originally Posted by Pervis_Griffith

Exactly.

When all is said and done, this virus' mortality rates may be 3 times that as the flu. Which would mean that 99.7 per cent of those who get it, survive. People will easily decide that living life will outweigh the risks associated with this form of COVID.

It still sucks to have people die from this ... I lost an aunt and uncle to COVID 19. It's been brutal.

But 0.3% is a far cry from the 3 and 4% some models were predicting back in February/March.

I think at one point it was even higher than that. I seem to remember Dr. Fauci giving an initial prediction of 1 million U.S. deaths from it. But i can't remember if he was saying that might be the TOTAL death toll by the time we have a vaccine / effective treatment 2 years down the road or so.

[skinsfan69]

Originally Posted by SolidSnake84

I think at one point it was even higher than that. I seem to remember Dr. Fauci giving an initial prediction of 1 million U.S. deaths from it. But i can't remember if he was saying that might be the TOTAL death toll by the time we have a vaccine / effective treatment 2 years down the road or so.

Has he been right on anything? I stopped listening to him a long time ago.

[SolidSnake84]

Originally Posted by skinsfan69

Has he been right on anything? I stopped listening to him a long time ago.

No, not really. I have never doubted his knowledge for a second, but when you delve into his backstory and his predictions, he has been routinely wrong in his predictions / scenarios. Which he would be the first one to point out, because that means that people took his warnings / info seriously, and crisis was largely averted.

I am sure that he would be happy too that he will not see the 1 million deaths that he originally predicted. And he is also the first one to point out that when the virus first emerged, we had no better way of learning about it / minimizing the damage, other than locking down everywhere until we could get a plan together. And now he says that obviously long-term lockdowns is a poor strategy. But to be fair to him, they knew no better way at the time.

[MTK]

Originally Posted by SolidSnake84

I know i am the resident doom and gloom / armageddon guy here, but even I think that we will never see another widespread lockdown like what we just endured. I think more likely will be hotspot cities will be quarantined IF there is another flare up. Even Dr. Fauci is now saying that it is not a "given" that we see a resurgance of the virus.

I also think that by next year at this time, Coronavirus has been replaced in the media with whatever else is the big talking point. There will be a risk, sure, but slowly and surely i feel like people are getting more confident by the day.

And that is also one way a pandemic ends, when the population decides that the loss of liberty / quality of life, etc. outweighs the risk of the virus. People at some point will "move on" so to speak and go back to living their every day lives again.

Maybe not from this virus, but long term the next one may not be as forgiving. Hopefully we're better prepared next time.

[Pervis_Griffith]

Originally Posted by MTK

Yeah a lot can definitely change in 3 months, like 100,000 dead, and that was with shutting everything down.

That won't happen between now and Aug 28.

Promise you.

[MTK]

Originally Posted by Pervis_Griffith

That won't happen between now and Aug 28.

Promise you.

I don't think so either. I just don't think we're going to see packed stadiums until next year at the earliest. Hope I'm wrong but I just don't see how we can get there so quickly. That would be an awfully quick turnaround to go from lockdown to stadiums full of people in 6 months without a vaccine or proven treatments. We'll see.