Skins odds of winning the Super Bowl

[hooskins]

Originally Posted by Sociofan

Wait...8 teams remain....the Redskins are one of them. That would mean they have a 1 in 8 chance of winning...all other things being equal. Now, that said, the Skins have beaten the Seahawks, beaten the Bears and put up one hell of a fight against the Broncos. I'd think the odds should be no worse than 6-1. While Indy and the Pats are fine teams, we all know that the favorites don't always win the Super Bowl. No home team advantage there. Not just that I'm a Skins fan, but I wouldn't give anyone better than even odds. This team has some fight in it and I'm getting the sense that they did not come this far to lay down for anyone.

Yea statistics say we have a .5^(3)=.125 or 1/8 chance of winning the Super Bowl, but I think this radio person is calculating the way we have been playing late, homefield, etc.

[bigmarley4]

Here are the current odds for each team winning the superbowl and conference championships:

Odds to win 2006 Super Bowl - February 5th - All wagers have Action.
Carolina Panthers 8/1
Chicago Bears 15/2
Denver Broncos 7/1
Indianapolis Colts 7/5
New England Patriots 5/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 11/1
Seattle Seahawks 13/2
Washington Redskins 19/1

Odds to win 2006 NFC Championship - All wagers have Action. No Parlays Max $500
Carolina Panthers 7/2
Chicago Bears 9/4
Seattle Seahawks 5/6
Washington Redskins 7/1

Odds to win 2006 AFC Championship - All wagers have Action.
Denver Broncos 7/2
Indianapolis Colts 5/8
New England Patriots 5/2
Pittsburgh Steelers 5/1

[Sociofan]

Originally Posted by bigmarley4

Here are the current odds for each team winning the superbowl and conference championships:

Odds to win 2006 Super Bowl - February 5th - All wagers have Action.
Carolina Panthers 8/1
Chicago Bears 15/2
Denver Broncos 7/1
Indianapolis Colts 7/5
New England Patriots 5/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 11/1
Seattle Seahawks 13/2
Washington Redskins 19/1

Odds to win 2006 NFC Championship - All wagers have Action. No Parlays Max $500
Carolina Panthers 7/2
Chicago Bears 9/4
Seattle Seahawks 5/6
Washington Redskins 7/1

Odds to win 2006 AFC Championship - All wagers have Action.
Denver Broncos 7/2
Indianapolis Colts 5/8
New England Patriots 5/2
Pittsburgh Steelers 5/1

Okay statisticians, enough of the textbook calculations. I DID specify "all other things being equal"...which we know they are not. These odds above look a little closer to reality, although given that it seems that the Vegas bookies all believe everyone else is just going to wither up and die for Indy, I'm surprised that they have given such short odds for everyone else. Just remember Joe Namath when all odds were against him, "I guarantee a victory in the Super Bowl." And he won.

[onlydarksets]

Originally Posted by hooskins

Yea statistics say we have a .5^(3)=.125 or 1/8 chance of winning the Super Bowl, but I think this radio person is calculating the way we have been playing late, homefield, etc.

That's assuming the winner is chosen at random, which isn't the case.