Vick's Value... Justified or Too Much Hype?

[Hogskin]

Vick goes much too early for me to ever take him. In the second round, I would take a very strong WR or even a RB before I would take a QB with a high injury probability. If he misses even 4 weeks (which is optomistic), you have 4 matches without your 2nd round pick, leaving you at a disadvantage for the season. If you like longshots, go for it. He has great potential if he stays healthy. I just try to go with a steady team that has high odds to be among the playoff teams. The playoffs are probably 80% luck - anyone can win. If you consistently make the playoffs, you will win championships.

As far as rookie WR's, I agree with Daseal - extremely low odds. Of all the rookie wide receivers since 1990 that were FAIRLY HIGH FANTASY PICKS, I can only think of 3 or 4 that justified their draft position. Moss and Galloway had excellent rookie seasons and paid off for their early draft position. Many, many dozens of others did not. So I wait for the late ones and try to luck out with a good sleeper at almost no cost. Boldin was DRAFTED in 80% of our leagues last year (always very late, of course). That really paid off for the guys that took him. The guys that squander early picks on the big name rookie WR's really hurt their chances. We have large rosters, so you have the opportunity to grab some guys that look promising to you and see if they pan out. To me, that is what fantasy sports is all about - not a mad dash for a free agent (like Boldin) after he ALREADY proves himself. It is much more rewarding the other way.