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How many points do we think this offense will put up every Sunday?

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Old 05-12-2007, 09:58 AM   #1
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Re: How many points do we think this offense will put up every Sunday?

In Kansas City, Saunders offense averaged 30.2 pts/game in both 2003 and 2004 while in 2005, his offense averaged 25.2 pts/game. He averaged 393, 418, and 387 yds/game in 2003, 2004, and 2005 respectfully. Even in 2005 (what looks like his off year), his offense was ranked 6th in the league in pts/game but 1st in yds/game.

Before people start talking about all the talent he had to work with, please note that in 2006, without Saunders, Kansas City dropped to 16th in the league in total offense with 321 yds/game (Note: Washington was 13th), and 15th in the league in scoring (Washington was 20th).

There are also some good numbers to look at in Saunders bio. I'm sure people know how to find this, but it's a good read if you haven't seen it in a while. It gets me excited.
http://www.redskins.com/team/cprofile.jsp?id=15156


With this in mind, I'm going with between 25 and 30 pts/game for the skins this year.
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Old 05-12-2007, 12:18 PM   #2
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Re: How many points do we think this offense will put up every Sunday?

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Originally Posted by GoSkins! View Post
In Kansas City, Saunders offense averaged 30.2 pts/game in both 2003 and 2004 while in 2005, his offense averaged 25.2 pts/game. He averaged 393, 418, and 387 yds/game in 2003, 2004, and 2005 respectfully. Even in 2005 (what looks like his off year), his offense was ranked 6th in the league in pts/game but 1st in yds/game.

Before people start talking about all the talent he had to work with, please note that in 2006, without Saunders, Kansas City dropped to 16th in the league in total offense with 321 yds/game (Note: Washington was 13th), and 15th in the league in scoring (Washington was 20th).

There are also some good numbers to look at in Saunders bio. I'm sure people know how to find this, but it's a good read if you haven't seen it in a while. It gets me excited.
http://www.redskins.com/team/cprofile.jsp?id=15156


With this in mind, I'm going with between 25 and 30 pts/game for the skins this year.

Nice piece of homework there.....GoSkins
If we do end up putting those kind of numbers up every week, we will easily win 10 or BETTER games.
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Last edited by skinsfan_nn; 05-12-2007 at 07:08 PM. Reason: typo
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Old 05-12-2007, 08:43 PM   #3
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Re: How many points do we think this offense will put up every Sunday?

Quote:
Originally Posted by GoSkins! View Post
In Kansas City, Saunders offense averaged 30.2 pts/game in both 2003 and 2004 while in 2005, his offense averaged 25.2 pts/game. He averaged 393, 418, and 387 yds/game in 2003, 2004, and 2005 respectfully. Even in 2005 (what looks like his off year), his offense was ranked 6th in the league in pts/game but 1st in yds/game.

Before people start talking about all the talent he had to work with, please note that in 2006, without Saunders, Kansas City dropped to 16th in the league in total offense with 321 yds/game (Note: Washington was 13th), and 15th in the league in scoring (Washington was 20th).

There are also some good numbers to look at in Saunders bio. I'm sure people know how to find this, but it's a good read if you haven't seen it in a while. It gets me excited.
http://www.redskins.com/team/cprofile.jsp?id=15156


With this in mind, I'm going with between 25 and 30 pts/game for the skins this year.
EXACTLY. I think in the neighborhood of 25 pts/gm give or take a point or two on either end. Saunders has been so successful as a coordinator, it's actually pretty awesome. And other than Tony Gonzalez, the pass catchers on that KC team were never really anything other than role players. With Moss a legit #1 and Cooley being the stud he is, if we can get either ARE or friggin' Lloyd to step up as a legit #2, I think this offense can dominate. If Portis stays healthy he's gonna have a monster season.

I like this thread. Very positive...
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Old 05-12-2007, 09:18 PM   #4
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Re: How many points do we think this offense will put up every Sunday?

For the stats gurus...

Professional Football Researchers Association- Pro Football History


good article on how to determine the effectiveness of an offense and the way turnovers effect pts/game

It claims a turnover is worth 4 pts. on average. (2 lost for your team, 2 for thier team).
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Old 05-12-2007, 09:24 PM   #5
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Re: How many points do we think this offense will put up every Sunday?

Quote:
Originally Posted by GoSkins! View Post
For the stats gurus...

Professional Football Researchers Association- Pro Football History


good article on how to determine the effectiveness of an offense and the way turnovers effect pts/game

It claims a turnover is worth 4 pts. on average. (2 lost for your team, 2 for thier team).
That means a ton from the defensive point of view. If we can be effective at forcing turnovers it will not only help the D, but also help an offense that looks to be better than last year anyway. I'm so excited for the season. This summer is gonna drag.
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