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12th's 5 Reasons Why The Skins Beat N.E.

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Old 10-23-2007, 01:17 PM   #1
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Re: 12th's 5 Reasons Why The Skins Beat N.E.

right now I am realistically saying 38-24 Pats but my homer prediction is 30-24 in OT Redskins win.
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Old 10-23-2007, 01:32 PM   #2
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Re: 12th's 5 Reasons Why The Skins Beat N.E.

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Originally Posted by EARTHQUAKE2689 View Post
right now I am realistically saying 38-24 Pats but my homer prediction is 30-24 in OT Redskins win.
The Redskins have only scored 24 points or more for ONE game all season, and that was at home against the Lions. Now they are on the road against the best team in football.

The Patriots defense has NEVER surrendered more than 20 points all season. (The two games where Miami and Dallas scored higher than 20 was due to a the opposing defense scoring on a turnover).

So how can you use the word "realistically" in that prediction? Because based on the stats, and, how the 'Skins have performed recently on offense that is not a "realistic" prediction.?
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Old 10-23-2007, 01:59 PM   #3
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Re: 12th's 5 Reasons Why The Skins Beat N.E.

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The Redskins have only scored 24 points or more for ONE game all season, and that was at home against the Lions. Now they are on the road against the best team in football.

The Patriots defense has NEVER surrendered more than 20 points all season. (The two games where Miami and Dallas scored higher than 20 was due to a the opposing defense scoring on a turnover).

So how can you use the word "realistically" in that prediction? Because based on the stats, and, how the 'Skins have performed recently on offense that is not a "realistic" prediction.?

and last time I checked we have scored on Defense in 2 of the last 3 games and if our FG kicker hits the FG on the opening drive of the 3rd Qtr we have 24 points, so 24 points is not out of the question and remember Jsaon Campell overthrew a wide open Santana Moss on monday night that would have given us 27
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Old 10-23-2007, 02:11 PM   #4
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Re: 12th's 5 Reasons Why The Skins Beat N.E.

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Originally Posted by EARTHQUAKE2689 View Post
and last time I checked we have scored on Defense in 2 of the last 3 games and if our FG kicker hits the FG on the opening drive of the 3rd Qtr we have 24 points, so 24 points is not out of the question and remember Jsaon Campell overthrew a wide open Santana Moss on monday night that would have given us 27
Never said it was out of the question, just not realistic is all.

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Originally Posted by EARTHQUAKE2689 View Post
if our FG kicker hits the FG on the opening drive of the 3rd Qtr we have 24 points
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Originally Posted by EARTHQUAKE2689 View Post
Jason Campell overthrew a wide open Santana Moss on monday night that would have given us 27
So now you're saying that "realistic" is based on "if"?

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Originally Posted by bertoskins2
maybe the cowpukes have only roy horse collar williams to put chains on the pats 3 magnificent receivers
Maybe and maybe not, but I doubt to see what Roy Williams has to do with whether or not the Redskins defensive backfield can do it either, which is what I thought was being discussed. But, not that it would have mattered, Newman was playing injured at about 75% and Henry did not play due to injury in the Patriots game. Dallas had second stringers in there most of the game. Again, not that it would have mattered.
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Old 10-23-2007, 02:06 PM   #5
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Re: 12th's 5 Reasons Why The Skins Beat N.E.

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Originally Posted by sandtrapjack View Post
The Redskins have only scored 24 points or more for ONE game all season, and that was at home against the Lions. Now they are on the road against the best team in football.

The Patriots defense has NEVER surrendered more than 20 points all season. (The two games where Miami and Dallas scored higher than 20 was due to a the opposing defense scoring on a turnover).

So how can you use the word "realistically" in that prediction? Because based on the stats, and, how the 'Skins have performed recently on offense that is not a "realistic" prediction.?
I know you're not a Redskins fan, so I'll give you some wiggle-room to make some stupid statements (j/k). We have been playing down to the level of our opponents. For the most part, when we get leads, we sit on them. We don't feel compelled to go for the throat and risk losing games because our defense is usually good enough to come in and close them. Your logic that "because they haven't put up lots of points, they can't put up lots of points" is wrong IMO.

We're going to try to play up to the level of the Pats and, though we will almost certainly lose by at least one touchdown and our offense will struggle, I don't think it is at all unrealistic to expect them to score more than 20 points. If the Fins can do it, I see no reason why we cannot.
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Old 10-23-2007, 04:45 PM   #6
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Re: 12th's 5 Reasons Why The Skins Beat N.E.

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Originally Posted by sandtrapjack View Post
The Redskins have only scored 24 points or more for ONE game all season, and that was at home against the Lions. Now they are on the road against the best team in football.

The Patriots defense has NEVER surrendered more than 20 points all season. (The two games where Miami and Dallas scored higher than 20 was due to a the opposing defense scoring on a turnover).

So how can you use the word "realistically" in that prediction? Because based on the stats, and, how the 'Skins have performed recently on offense that is not a "realistic" prediction.?
It makes sense because if the Patriots do happen to hang 38 on them, there will be A LOT more offensive snaps for a very potent offense. Obviously snaps have a strong correlation with points, much stronger than TOP for example.

The Redskins had a lot of snaps vs. Detroit. In their other games...not so much.

Is more snaps always a good thing? Not if the other team also gets more snaps. But it does mean more points.

I don't think the Pats are going to get close to 38 points against the No. 1 passing defense. More likely if they win, it will be because they had success running, and scored 24 points or something and beat us 24-21.

24-21 seems close, but if the Pats had three long methodical TD drives against the Redskins that ate up a ton of clock, then obviously they got it done.

One of the reasons the offense hasn't been scoring is that they are USUALLY playing with a lead. We would all still wish they would add to that lead, but teams have shut us down when we try to run with a lead (And I would give the credit to our opponents for this). That eats up clock AND forces a lot of punts. If we are forced to play from behind, something that has not happened prior to the late third quarter this year, I think the passing offense could put up a lot of points.
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Old 10-23-2007, 05:14 PM   #7
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Re: 12th's 5 Reasons Why The Skins Beat N.E.

This game will be the barometer of how far we've come as a team, even if we lose with backup offensive linemen we will know what areas we need to improve on.
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