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10-24-2007, 02:18 AM
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#46 |
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Inactive
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: DC Metro Area
Age: 46
Posts: 5,829
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Re: Early Line for Wash/NE Game
I have a crazy formula for figuring out game scores. It is not an exact science. I am not trying to gain favor from anyone nor piss anyone off. I am just putting it out there.
According to the formula Pats 27.3 Skins 18.7 |
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10-24-2007, 02:38 AM
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#47 |
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Special Teams
Join Date: Jun 2006
Age: 68
Posts: 322
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Re: Early Line for Wash/NE Game
I remember in '83? (when we set the points record) that we hadn't been favored by more than 10 until we blew out the Rams on MNF. Then the spreads shot up, and I remember we were favored by 14.5 over Philly that year (cause I lost some money:-(
The offense can get untracked 'cause I think they know they can't win this if they stay conservative. Playing keep-away by running 3 plays worth of time off the clock won't work against this team. I hope they go back to high-percentage quick passes, especially on first down. As I've said in another post, they seem to be successful with it. I hope they don't try to air it out very much, 'cause they're not getting reliable yardage per play and they frequently need 3 downs to get the first. In addition, JC's long ball needs some work (no hang time.) If the offense can hang in there and the DBs (esp. Springs) are able to play we might do respectably. Of course, if Brady gets all day... |
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10-24-2007, 02:56 AM
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#48 |
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Special Teams
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: AA County, Md
Age: 60
Posts: 150
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Re: Early Line for Wash/NE Game
Is it Sunday yet?
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10-24-2007, 01:06 PM
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#49 |
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Impact Rookie
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 922
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Re: Early Line for Wash/NE Game
I like our Defense..... No way we don't cover.... The Patriots are due a let down ....Gibbs wants this.... The old Championship Gibbs comes through....... WE could even win this... Lets hope Brady's head continues to grow.... Easy game Brady...think that way.......
__________________
Run or Pass and Score ..We Want Alot More!!!! |
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10-24-2007, 01:54 PM
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#50 | |
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A Dude
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Newtown Square, PA
Age: 45
Posts: 12,422
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Re: Early Line for Wash/NE Game
Quote:
__________________
God made certain people to play football. He was one of them. |
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10-24-2007, 05:39 PM
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#51 | |
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The Starter
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: IOWA
Age: 42
Posts: 1,324
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Re: Early Line for Wash/NE Game
Quote:
If I was a betting man, I would want to bet Redskins and Under. I would aslo probably owe some Money come Monday morning.
__________________
No pressure, no diamonds. |
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10-24-2007, 07:53 PM
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#52 | |
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Special Teams
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Morgantown, WV
Age: 39
Posts: 139
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Re: Early Line for Wash/NE Game
Quote:
They played Week2 |
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10-24-2007, 09:42 PM
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#53 |
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Impact Rookie
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Richmond, VA
Age: 41
Posts: 890
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Re: Early Line for Wash/NE Game
use common sense and take the pats and the over...
then if the skins win you're happy to lose that money. |
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10-24-2007, 10:04 PM
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#54 | |
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MVP
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Seattle
Age: 45
Posts: 10,069
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Re: Early Line for Wash/NE Game
Quote:
LOL.....
__________________
"The Redskins have always suffered from chronic organizational deformities under Snyder." -Jenkins |
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10-24-2007, 11:52 PM
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#55 | |
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Inactive
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: DC Metro Area
Age: 46
Posts: 5,829
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Re: Early Line for Wash/NE Game
Quote:
Nope, but it has me correctly picking the point spread of over 64% of games on a weekly basis. (Thus Far) |
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10-25-2007, 11:39 AM
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#56 | |
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Pro Bowl
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Lakewood, CO
Posts: 5,613
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Re: Early Line for Wash/NE Game
Quote:
I'm not sure what they were ranked before the Pats. Really, you think one game determines the ranking seven games into the season. Sorry, but you are giving the Pats too much credit. To answer your question, if the Pats drop 380 yards on the Skins, they will still be in the top 10. |
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10-28-2007, 01:50 PM
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#57 |
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Playmaker
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Rehoboth Beach, DE
Posts: 3,494
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Re: Early Line for Wash/NE Game
Shocking news - according to an offshore site I just checked, the line has dropped to 14½. I frankly would have thought this would go in the other direction.
__________________
There's nowhere to go but up. Or down. I guess we could stay where we are, too. |
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10-28-2007, 03:05 PM
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#58 | |
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Playmaker
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Manassas
Age: 53
Posts: 3,048
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Re: Early Line for Wash/NE Game
Quote:
__________________
This Monkey's Gone to Heaven |
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10-28-2007, 07:31 PM
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#59 |
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Special Teams
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: staten island
Age: 48
Posts: 477
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Re: Early Line for Wash/NE Game
Just out of curiosity, are any of you aware of the purpose of a point-spread? To get an equal amount of money bet on each side of the game. All the casino wants is to make the 10% vig, that is enough to keep them in business. Keep in mind, A LOT of people are not convinced the Redskins are any good. The Cowboys, who most consider a better team, got lit up in Dallas. A lesser team going into New England? The money is going to come in heavy on New England. Since the line moved a full point, it shows the large spread didn't scare away the New England money.
__________________
"Everyone is talking about their dynasty. Well, OUR DYNASTY STARTS TONIGHT."--Michael Strahan, pre-game huddle Pep talk, February 3rd, 2008. |
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