Branden Albert

[Sheriff Gonna Getcha]

Originally Posted by hagams

You can see what happens to a team when thier O-line breaks down, by looking at our last season. Agreed, dude is a beast on paper. Endurance, and mobility can be worked on. But, if our O-line stays healthy this year, how big of a pick would he be for us? We need to somehow find that "One Guy" that will make an impact.

Statistically, we roughly have a 50-50 chance of drafting a bust at 21. We have about a 1 in 5 chance of drafting an immediate impact player. We have even worse odds of drafting an immediate impact player at a position of need (WR, CB, DT). In any event, it makes the most sense to draft a guy who is most likely to have a long-term impact, not a guy who is just going to fill an immediate need.