Most Likely First Round Bust

[freddyg12]

Originally Posted by GTripp0012

Darrius Heyward-Bey is likely to enjoy some level of good QB play before the end of 2011 in Oakland, and I would not tag him as a likely bust, even though the longer he withers in Oakland the more likely it will become.

Hakeem Nicks will bust in New York. Aaron Maybin has a good chance to bust in Buffalo. Jeremy Maclin, I don't see him ever climbing the depth chart in Philly. Even with three receivers, they'd have to let some of their better players go to make room for him, and that would be a mistake. Larry English could wash out very, very easily in San Diego.

Freeman is a huge question mark, because I don't think he's in a good situation in Tampa. I do favor his potential though over, say, Stafford, who I think as crazy as this may sound, will not bust because he's in a much better situation. Sanchez, I think, is in a better situation than Freeman, and will have a league average career.

But if I'm being asked for just one name of whom will fail epically, I'm going with Percy Harvin in Minnesota.

I listened to KC Joyner, "football scientist", last night on espn radio & found his analysis of players very insightful. He said he studied the routes of wr's & after comparing them, had this to say:

1) Heyward Bey did not run that many vertical routes in college, but it was the one route that he ran well. He doesn't cut very quickly & doesn't run most routes very efficiently. Not great hands either.

2) Percy Harvin didn't run many vertical routes, despite the press about his great speed. Overall he didn't run a wide variety of routes & Fla. got him the ball in a variety of ways, including handoffs.

3) Hakeem Nicks doesn't have great "vertical speed" but he gets in & out of his breaks quickly & runs the deep in, 20 yards & cut inside, very well. He compared him to Torry Holt, a wr that never had great speed but could get open downfield. He felt there were only some fairly minor tweaks to his route running that were needed to make him an effective pro.

I saw Nicks a few times & thought he had great hands & was a strong, physical wr. I liked him before, but I think he might be the best of this class after listening to Joyner.

Overall Joyner thought Harvin & Heyard-Bey were much lesser wr's at this point & he questioned if both were capable of being good nfl recievers.