Gibbs' take on Campbell's situation

[KLHJ2]

I think that you guys are misinterpreting what I said. I said he would either be a backup or out of the league. Maybe I should have said that he will not be a starter after 2010...that was my intent.


Edit: Unless he has a great season, which I don't see happening. Good, maybe, great, no.

[GTripp0012]

Originally Posted by Angry

Edit: Unless he has a great season, which I don't see happening. Good, maybe, great, no.

If Campbell does:

338/515, 66%, 23 TD/8 INT, 3,605 yards, 7.0 Y/A: QB Rating of 94.4
(this is my mean projection for Campbell)

Is that "great" or merely good?

Based on last year's offensive environment, he would be 6th in the NFL in QB rating.

[MTK]

Originally Posted by GTripp0012

If Campbell does:

338/515, 66%, 23 TD/8 INT, 3,605 yards, 7.0 Y/A: QB Rating of 94.4
(this is my mean projection for Campbell)

Is that "great" or merely good?

Based on last year's offensive environment, he would be 6th in the NFL in QB rating.

He's certainly capable of that type of production.

[44Deezel]

Originally Posted by Mattyk72

He's certainly capable of that type of production.

23 TDs, yes. With only 8 picks, no. 23/15 is more reasonable, but I would much rather see that than 13/6.

[Lotus]

Originally Posted by 44Deezel

23 TDs, yes. With only 8 picks, no. 23/15 is more reasonable, but I would much rather see that than 13/6.

Why not split your difference and make it 23 TD's, 12 INT's, a passer rating around 90, and, combined with a bad-ass defense, win the division? Many teams would want JC then. In this scenario, I would be angry if the FO did not offer him a big enough contract to keep him.

[MTK]

Originally Posted by 44Deezel

23 TDs, yes. With only 8 picks, no. 23/15 is more reasonable, but I would much rather see that than 13/6.

That would be a big jump in INTs for him.

For his career he has thrown 23 INTs over 36 games. Or .6388 INT for every 1 start. Your prediction has him at .9375 for every 1 start.

[tryfuhl]

Originally Posted by Mattyk72

That would be a big jump in INTs for him.

For his career he has thrown 23 INTs over 36 games. Or .6388 INT for every 1 start. Your prediction has him at .9375 for every 1 start.

That's if you look at it in a linear fashion. Bigger plays = more risks

or receivers that find themselves wide the hell open

[GTripp0012]

Originally Posted by tryfuhl

That's if you look at it in a linear fashion. Bigger plays = more risks

or receivers that find themselves wide the hell open

You'd be correct that it's not linear, but it's also not subject to additional risk unless we become the chuck and duck offense.

As usual, normal variance suggests that 8 INTs is probably more of a floor than anything, but Campbell only had near picks on a handful of throws last year, maybe 5-6. There's always going to be those dropped picks.

David Garrard had a poor year on a 6-10 team. He threw 7 fewer picks than Jay Cutler did on an 8-8 team. So, there's variance based on risk, sure, but Campbell's not going to be picked 15 times this year.

[GusFrerotte]

Originally Posted by tryfuhl

That's if you look at it in a linear fashion. Bigger plays = more risks

or receivers that find themselves wide the hell open

Big plays with the lame ass WR corp we have(not including Santana, ARE is ok)? Shoot I have a better chance of a threesome with the playmates from the Girls Next Door than us becoming a big play offense. Especially running the WCO.

[WaldSkins]

Originally Posted by GTripp0012

If Campbell does:

338/515, 66%, 23 TD/8 INT, 3,605 yards, 7.0 Y/A: QB Rating of 94.4
(this is my mean projection for Campbell)

Is that "great" or merely good?

Based on last year's offensive environment, he would be 6th in the NFL in QB rating.

that's a big if

[KLHJ2]

Originally Posted by GTripp0012

If Campbell does:

338/515, 66%, 23 TD/8 INT, 3,605 yards, 7.0 Y/A: QB Rating of 94.4
(this is my mean projection for Campbell)

Is that "great" or merely good?

Based on last year's offensive environment, he would be 6th in the NFL in QB rating.

Those numbers are good enough to be great. Questions would arise with it being a contract year though. He needs to add a little more proof to the pudding than that. While those numbers will be good enough to keep him in Washington, they might not be convincing enough for outside organizations to offer him big time money.