Gibbs' take on Campbell's situation

[MTK]

Originally Posted by 44Deezel

23 TDs, yes. With only 8 picks, no. 23/15 is more reasonable, but I would much rather see that than 13/6.

That would be a big jump in INTs for him.

For his career he has thrown 23 INTs over 36 games. Or .6388 INT for every 1 start. Your prediction has him at .9375 for every 1 start.

[tryfuhl]

Originally Posted by Mattyk72

That would be a big jump in INTs for him.

For his career he has thrown 23 INTs over 36 games. Or .6388 INT for every 1 start. Your prediction has him at .9375 for every 1 start.

That's if you look at it in a linear fashion. Bigger plays = more risks

or receivers that find themselves wide the hell open

[GTripp0012]

Originally Posted by tryfuhl

That's if you look at it in a linear fashion. Bigger plays = more risks

or receivers that find themselves wide the hell open

You'd be correct that it's not linear, but it's also not subject to additional risk unless we become the chuck and duck offense.

As usual, normal variance suggests that 8 INTs is probably more of a floor than anything, but Campbell only had near picks on a handful of throws last year, maybe 5-6. There's always going to be those dropped picks.

David Garrard had a poor year on a 6-10 team. He threw 7 fewer picks than Jay Cutler did on an 8-8 team. So, there's variance based on risk, sure, but Campbell's not going to be picked 15 times this year.

[tryfuhl]

Originally Posted by GTripp0012

You'd be correct that it's not linear, but it's also not subject to additional risk unless we become the chuck and duck offense.

As usual, normal variance suggests that 8 INTs is probably more of a floor than anything, but Campbell only had near picks on a handful of throws last year, maybe 5-6. There's always going to be those dropped picks.

David Garrard had a poor year on a 6-10 team. He threw 7 fewer picks than Jay Cutler did on an 8-8 team. So, there's variance based on risk, sure, but Campbell's not going to be picked 15 times this year.

That's likely true. It was pretty crazy how long he went without picks last year even though our WR corp wasn't that good and suffered a bit from cases of the tipsies and dropsies.

[GusFrerotte]

Originally Posted by tryfuhl

That's if you look at it in a linear fashion. Bigger plays = more risks

or receivers that find themselves wide the hell open

Big plays with the lame ass WR corp we have(not including Santana, ARE is ok)? Shoot I have a better chance of a threesome with the playmates from the Girls Next Door than us becoming a big play offense. Especially running the WCO.

[Lotus]

Originally Posted by GusFrerotte

Big plays with the lame ass WR corp we have(not including Santana, ARE is ok)? Shoot I have a better chance of a threesome with the playmates from the Girls Next Door than us becoming a big play offense. Especially running the WCO.

I'm hoping that Devin Thomas proves you wrong this year. I can't speak for any Girls Next Door.

[The Goat]

Originally Posted by Lotus

I'm hoping that Devin Thomas proves you wrong this year. I can't speak for any Girls Next Door.

Both u and I have the high hopes for Devin Lotus...I'm looking for him to become a serious big play threat. Sooooo much athleticism there, i mean i really think he's on similar athletic level as Tana but Devin needs to become a skilled WR for the potential to make any difference.

[Lotus]

Originally Posted by The Goat

Both u and I have the high hopes for Devin Lotus...I'm looking for him to become a serious big play threat. Sooooo much athleticism there, i mean i really think he's on similar athletic level as Tana but Devin needs to become a skilled WR for the potential to make any difference.

I actually think that Devin is at a higher athletic level than Tana. At this point DT might have better speed and he definitely is taller, making him a jump-ball-fade threat that Tana has never been.

But, yes, you are correct, DT's athleticism makes no difference unless he cultivates his skills.

His first year at Michigan State he did nothing but then he tore up the Big Ten his second year. I'm hoping that a similar breakout happens here this year.

[GusFrerotte]

Originally Posted by Lotus

I'm hoping that Devin Thomas proves you wrong this year. I can't speak for any Girls Next Door.

I hope so too, because I am not too sure about my chances with the Girls Next Door myself!!!!! Only thing is that MSU jocks usually don't make an impact in the NFL or if they do it is not for too long.