Wash Post, Wash Times, DC Sports Bog and top Redskins blogs make predictions

[SmootSmack]

Originally Posted by Paintrain

I'm surprised to see so many people think Campbell won't be back in '10. Snyder's money is burning a hole in his pocket to spend on a franchise QB. I think a nice chemistry is going to build with JC, Moss, Kelly and Cooley, enough so for a nice mid level 3 year extension. His chances to come back are probably 70-30.

The other factor is viable options. This is not a team that can draft a rookie QB and let him develop. The top NFL ready options next offseason via trade are probably Tavaris Jackson, Kellen Clemens, Derek Anderson or Tyler Thigpen. The top options in FA are Kyle Boller, Josh McCown and Sage Rosenfels. The reality is none of them is an upgrade from the JC we see today, even with no 2009 improvements.

To me, Zorn has less than a 50% chance of returning with 9 wins or less. There's too much temptation for Snyder and with a glimmer from the offense he's going to see an inferno if he can bring in a Shanahan or Gruden who is not going to change the offense, but enhance it. Zorn's got to win 10 to return. FWIW, I'm calling 10-6 but won't be surprised if there's a press conference in Ashburn next February.

What percentage would you assign to each of the following return next season?

Cerrato (in his current capacity), Zorn, Campbell
Cerrato and Zorn
Cerrato and Campbell
Zorn and Campbell
Cerrato only
Zorn only
Campbell only

[GTripp0012]

Originally Posted by SmootSmack

What percentage would you assign to each of the following return next season?

Cerrato (in his current capacity), Zorn, Campbell
Cerrato and Zorn
Cerrato and Campbell
Zorn and Campbell
Cerrato only
Zorn only
Campbell only

Absolute percentages or zero-sums?

In other words, can "Cerrato and Zorn" and "Campbell Only" add up to something that isn't 100%?

[Paintrain]

Originally Posted by SmootSmack

What percentage would you assign to each of the following return next season?

Cerrato (in his current capacity), Zorn, Campbell
Cerrato and Zorn
Cerrato and Campbell
Zorn and Campbell
Cerrato only
Zorn only
Campbell only

Not sure if that was a serious query or sarcastic but I'll play along anyways. Assuming 9 wins (because anything less to me means a complete housecleaning of coaches) as the benchmark, and taking each scenario out of 100% here goes..


Cerrato (in his current capacity), Zorn, Campbell - 20%
Cerrato and Zorn - 15%
Cerrato and Campbell - 60%
Zorn and Campbell - 30%
Cerrato only - 100% (he's back regardless)
Zorn only - 0%
Campbell only - 60%

[SmootSmack]

Originally Posted by Paintrain

Not sure if that was a serious query or sarcastic but I'll play along anyways. Assuming 9 wins (because anything less to me means a complete housecleaning of coaches) as the benchmark, and taking each scenario out of 100% here goes..


Cerrato (in his current capacity), Zorn, Campbell - 20%
Cerrato and Zorn - 15%
Cerrato and Campbell - 60%
Zorn and Campbell - 30%
Cerrato only - 100% (he's back regardless)
Zorn only - 0%
Campbell only - 60%

Serious question, each scenario out of 100% as you did.

[Paintrain]

Originally Posted by SmootSmack

Serious question, each scenario out of 100% as you did.

Same question to you, what percentages would you give each of happening?

[SmootSmack]

Originally Posted by Paintrain

Same question to you, what percentages would you give each of happening?

What are you, Greg Blache?? I'm the one asking the questions, don't throw it back at me!

I'm pretty awful at these types of questions, but I'll try my best.

I think if they win 8 games, Zorn and Cerrato are both back. If they win 9+ and a playoff game, then Snyder won't hesitate at all to give Campbell a big contract. Losing season, Campbell is gone. Winning season and/or winning season with a playoff appearance (but no win), then we could see prolonged discussions with Campbell.

I've thought that in 2010 or 2011, Cerrato would be elevated (moved) to a less football operations and more business operations role within Snyder's empire. But I'm less inclined to think that these days. For one thing, while some pieces are still missing, he's putting a pretty solid team together, including the front office team. Why not let him continue?

So anyway...

Cerrato, Zorn, Campbell: 100% (assuming winning season and playoff win)
Cerrato and Campbell: 25% (if they let Zorn go it will be because they failed to win this year, and if that happens I can't see Campbell staying as well)
Zorn and Campbell: 25%. (If they both come back, no reason not to keep Cerrato)
Cerrato and Zorn: 85% (VC brought Zorn in, they are pretty closely tied in my opinion)
Cerrato: 85%
Zorn: 100% (assuming winning season and playoff win); 45% (8-8); 10% (losing season)
Campbell: 100% (assuming winning season and playoff win); 45% (8-8); 10% (losing season)

[GTripp0012]

Originally Posted by SmootSmack

What percentage would you assign to each of the following return next season?

Cerrato (in his current capacity), Zorn, Campbell -- 60%
Cerrato and Zorn -- 75%
Cerrato and Campbell -- 60%
Zorn and Campbell -- 60%
Cerrato only -- 5%
Zorn only -- 30%
Campbell only -- 10%