The Redskins Are Close

[GTripp0012]

Originally Posted by hooskins

I guess Tee is saying it is pretty sad that the apex of Zorns head coaching stint is against the nineteen-straight loss Lions. I dont think it is a matter of what makes one feel comfortable, but rather a matter of fact based on what has been shown so far(this season, preseason and the last 8 games last year).

If the Skins play great next game(all of the sudden), rest of the season and make the playoffs it will be nothing short of a miracle. I really dont see how else to look at it.

Well, I mean, it's not really.

The Redskins enter this game with the standard risk for losing to an inferior team. Happens all the time in the NFL. If they fail to score points again, happen to lose the turnover margin and the big play margin, while all the while, the Lions make a big jump as a team from week 2 to week 3, there's a realistic chance the Lions could beat us. But the chance of all that happening is, what, 10-15%?

Now, if the question is: what is the probability that Zorn and the Redskins completely blow the Lions out of the water? I'd say that's only 35-40%. It's hard to generate big plays with new guys on the offensive line, and we may not be able to run the ball on them. Calvin Johnson could always break for a TD unexpectedly. The margin of error to make this a blowout is not very large, and given the uncertainty on offense, probably isn't all that likely.

But how perfect would the Lions have to be to overcome the talent gap? Well, let's just say that if they do win, they'll certainly deserve it.