Mel Kiper's history

[internetcareer]

Originally Posted by FRPLG

It is such an inexact science with so many variables that no one can be as good as what we all probably envision as "good". I'd guess the best, absolute best, talent evaluators "miss" close to 50% of the time. The amount of work he puts into it and his breadth of knowledge of the players simply cannot be ignored.

congrats for the most sensible comment on this thread. Actually picking players or picking winners of games each week requires research and talent but ultimately we do not know what is in a players mind. We don't know how motivated that person is to accomplish, regardless of what they say. Albert Haynesworth is a great example. All the talent but....and then there are just the behind the scenes things that go on with personal problems, or fights in the locker room we don't hear about so ultimately we are only evaluating on what we see on game film from "any given Sunday".