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| Locker Room Main Forum Commanders Football & NFL discussion |
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#1 |
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Hail Raiser
![]() Join Date: Feb 2004
Age: 53
Posts: 100,121
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Re: Seahawks Redskins Rookie Showdown
Oddsmakers don't set the spreads based on who they think is better necessarily, it's all about getting as even amount of $$ as possible bet on both teams. That's why the spread fluctuates, if too much action is going down on one team the spread changes to account for that and to get more $$ bet the other way.
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#2 | |
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Living Legend
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Arlington, VA
Posts: 17,657
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Re: Seahawks Redskins Rookie Showdown
Quote:
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#3 | |
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Hail Raiser
![]() Join Date: Feb 2004
Age: 53
Posts: 100,121
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Re: Seahawks Redskins Rookie Showdown
Quote:
Oddsmakers don't try to predict the outcome of the game when setting point spreads. If a team is favored by seven points, that doesn't mean that the oddsmaker necessarily thinks it will win by seven points. The oddsmaker's goal when setting the line is to keep an equal number of bets on both sides of the game. The betting public's perception of the game can be as important as the actual comparison of the two teams. HowStuffWorks "How Sports Betting Works" |
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#4 |
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MVP
Join Date: May 2004
Age: 47
Posts: 10,164
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Re: Seahawks Redskins Rookie Showdown
No. On Monday they set the line where they think they will receive even action. Part of their evaluations may include team analysis but mostly it is based on superficial stuff that they know most bettors will use in their analysis plus spread history. So the line starts where they think the bettors will run action...or who bettors think is the better team. Not who they think is actually better.
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