Commanders Post at The Warpath  

Home | Forums | Donate | Shop




Go Back   Commanders Post at The Warpath > Commanders Football > Locker Room Main Forum

Locker Room Main Forum Commanders Football & NFL discussion


Seahawks Redskins Rookie Showdown

Locker Room Main Forum


Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 01-02-2013, 04:19 PM   #1
MTK
Hail Raiser
 
MTK's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Age: 53
Posts: 100,121
Re: Seahawks Redskins Rookie Showdown

Oddsmakers don't set the spreads based on who they think is better necessarily, it's all about getting as even amount of $$ as possible bet on both teams. That's why the spread fluctuates, if too much action is going down on one team the spread changes to account for that and to get more $$ bet the other way.
__________________
Support The Warpath! | Warpath Shop
MTK is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-02-2013, 04:22 PM   #2
skinsfan69
Living Legend
 
skinsfan69's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Arlington, VA
Posts: 17,657
Re: Seahawks Redskins Rookie Showdown

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mattyk View Post
Oddsmakers don't set the spreads based on who they think is better necessarily, it's all about getting as even amount of $$ as possible bet on both teams. That's why the spread fluctuates, if too much action is going down on one team the spread changes to account for that and to get more $$ bet the other way.
They do on Monday. Then as $ comes in the line will move around. The line opened at Washington -1, which is still saying they think Seattle is better. The money so far is on Seattle which is why it's moved 4 points.
skinsfan69 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-02-2013, 04:27 PM   #3
MTK
Hail Raiser
 
MTK's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Age: 53
Posts: 100,121
Re: Seahawks Redskins Rookie Showdown

Quote:
Originally Posted by skinsfan69 View Post
They do on Monday. Then as $ comes in the line will move around. The line opened at Washington -1, which is still saying they think Seattle is better. The money so far is on Seattle which is why it's moved 4 points.
No, they don't.

Oddsmakers don't try to predict the outcome of the game when setting point spreads. If a team is favored by seven points, that doesn't mean that the oddsmaker necessarily thinks it will win by seven points. The oddsmaker's goal when setting the line is to keep an equal number of bets on both sides of the game. The betting public's perception of the game can be as important as the actual comparison of the two teams.

HowStuffWorks "How Sports Betting Works"
__________________
Support The Warpath! | Warpath Shop
MTK is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-03-2013, 12:02 AM   #4
FRPLG
MVP
 
FRPLG's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2004
Age: 47
Posts: 10,164
Re: Seahawks Redskins Rookie Showdown

Quote:
Originally Posted by skinsfan69 View Post
They do on Monday. Then as $ comes in the line will move around. The line opened at Washington -1, which is still saying they think Seattle is better. The money so far is on Seattle which is why it's moved 4 points.
No. On Monday they set the line where they think they will receive even action. Part of their evaluations may include team analysis but mostly it is based on superficial stuff that they know most bettors will use in their analysis plus spread history. So the line starts where they think the bettors will run action...or who bettors think is the better team. Not who they think is actually better.
FRPLG is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off



All times are GMT -4. The time now is 07:24 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
We have no official affiliation with the Washington Commanders or the NFL.
Page generated in 0.21351 seconds with 11 queries