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Election predictions thread

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Old 10-30-2008, 05:20 PM   #1
SmootSmack
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Re: Election predictions thread

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Originally Posted by TheMalcolmConnection View Post
Prediction: pain. Obama kicks a late field goal to win 20-17. McCain does his best Wade Phillips impression by being old.

Seriously, Obama wins.
LOL. Maybe we'll have another election gameday thread

http://www.thewarpath.net/parking-lo...-thread-9.html
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Old 10-31-2008, 09:51 AM   #2
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Re: Election predictions thread

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Originally Posted by SmootSmack View Post
LOL. Maybe we'll have another election gameday thread

http://www.thewarpath.net/parking-lo...-thread-9.html
It would be nice to have a combined "We're 7-2!!!/Election Gameday Thread".

So money!
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Old 10-30-2008, 04:59 PM   #3
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Re: Election predictions thread

Either Obama's going to win by a slim margin (less than 5%) or he's going to win by more than expected (I'd say by over 7-8%).

Everyone pretty much knows Black people are going to go out in droves, moreso than 2004. I'm hoping that will be enough to tip him over..

I mean my sig link won't make anymore sense if he loses...
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Old 10-30-2008, 05:11 PM   #4
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Re: Election predictions thread

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Originally Posted by DynamiteRave View Post
Either Obama's going to win by a slim margin (less than 5%) or he's going to win by more than expected (I'd say by over 7-8%).

Everyone pretty much knows Black people are going to go out in droves, moreso than 2004. I'm hoping that will be enough to tip him over..

I mean my sig link won't make anymore sense if he loses...
I think if he wins the increase in turn out in the black vote will show to be the margin of victory. Who really knows its all just one big halfway educated guess.
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Old 10-30-2008, 05:13 PM   #5
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Re: Election predictions thread

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I think if he wins the increase in turn out in the black vote will show to be the margin of victory. Who really knows its all just one big halfway educated guess.
Yep. That's politics for ya.

Personally, I just want Tuesday to come and go. So these boards can go back to, like 70Chip said, models and monkey's throwing crap. Those were the good old days.
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Old 10-30-2008, 05:18 PM   #6
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Re: Election predictions thread

I thopught this was interesting ... the guy is in baseball stats so I thought it was fitting, hes got 344 to 193

FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections Done Right
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Old 11-04-2008, 11:40 PM   #7
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Re: Election predictions thread

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I thopught this was interesting ... the guy is in baseball stats so I thought it was fitting, hes got 344 to 193

FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections Done Right
That wasn't too far off
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Old 10-30-2008, 05:18 PM   #8
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Re: Election predictions thread

I thought this was interesting ... the guy is in baseball stats so I thought it was fitting, hes got 344 to 193 for Obama

FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections Done Right
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Old 10-30-2008, 05:20 PM   #9
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Re: Election predictions thread

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Originally Posted by NM Redskin View Post
I thought this was interesting ... the guy is in baseball stats so I thought it was fitting, hes got 344 to 193 for Obama

FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections Done Right
That seems huge. As much as I'd like to see that, I think it's gonna be a bit closer than that.
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Old 10-31-2008, 09:47 AM   #10
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Re: Election predictions thread

Funny to see some Obama mentions in that thread
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Old 10-31-2008, 10:59 AM   #11
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Re: Election predictions thread

obama wins period....
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Old 10-31-2008, 11:03 AM   #12
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Re: Election predictions thread

we need some change that is for sure i just hope obama listens to his experts like clinton did and get us out of this mess that bush made.mcCain has very little chance.but i will vote for him anyway
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Old 10-31-2008, 02:33 PM   #13
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Re: Election predictions thread

Obama advances to 8-point lead among “traditional likely voters”

The political landscape could be improving for Barack Obama in the waning days of the campaign. Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Oct. 28-30 shows him with an eight percentage point lead over John McCain among traditional likely voters -- 51% to 43% -- his largest margin to date using this historical Gallup Poll voter model.

Obama's current 11-point lead over McCain among all registered voters -- 52% to 41% -- is up from an eight-point lead in yesterday's report, and ties his highest advantage on this basis, last recorded 10 days ago. (To view the complete trend since March 7, 2008, click here.)
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Old 10-31-2008, 09:48 PM   #14
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Re: Election predictions thread

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Originally Posted by Mattyk72 View Post
Obama advances to 8-point lead among “traditional likely voters”

The political landscape could be improving for Barack Obama in the waning days of the campaign. Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Oct. 28-30 shows him with an eight percentage point lead over John McCain among traditional likely voters -- 51% to 43% -- his largest margin to date using this historical Gallup Poll voter model.

Obama's current 11-point lead over McCain among all registered voters -- 52% to 41% -- is up from an eight-point lead in yesterday's report, and ties his highest advantage on this basis, last recorded 10 days ago. (To view the complete trend since March 7, 2008, click here.)
The danger for Obama is that many of his supporters see these polls and think "It's in the bag, I'll just stay home and watch that SNL skit online again" and meanwhile, McCain supporters are actually getting out there and voting.
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Old 10-31-2008, 10:11 PM   #15
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Re: Election predictions thread

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The danger for Obama is that many of his supporters see these polls and think "It's in the bag, I'll just stay home and watch that SNL skit online again" and meanwhile, McCain supporters are actually getting out there and voting.
Perhaps, but I don't think that will happen.

I think there's almost a sense of urgency out there among voters, turnouts are going to be big.
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