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Old 01-15-2012, 10:14 PM   #10
sportscurmudgeon
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Re: Coaching Changes

Quote:
Originally Posted by GTripp0012 View Post
I don't think either is of real value to us. Obviously the Rams' asking price for the no. 2 pick is sky high now: they won't actually get a first, second, and third for four or seven spots to trade up.

But the Rams only have leverage if the Redskins are interested in that pick. Because the Browns are well positioned anyway. If the Browns want Griffin, they just have to beat best offer, they don't actually have to move (on some level here, I am suggesting that NFL teams will collude). It greatly complicates the ability of the Rams to trade the pick for above-market value if teams know they can't beat the Browns.

Basically, unless the Rams are actually willing to take Robert Griffin with the second overall pick, their only leverage comes from the Redskins interest in the pick (because it wouldn't make sense for the Rams to drop too much further down in the draft than sixth). If the Redskins want to go to 3rd overall to jump the Browns, the Rams aren't going to get a whole lot of serious offers for that pick.
I suspect you underestimate the market here. Yes, the Browns will be interested enough to try to match/beat the best offer the Rams get. However, in addition to the Redskins possible interest in moving up, why would the Dolphins be uninterested in moving up to get RG III?

Same with the Jaguars after Mularkey gets a look at a full season's worth of tape on Blaine Gabbert?

Why not the Broncos if Elway decides that Tebow is not the long term answer?

The Chiefs?

And as real long-shots why not the Cowboys or the Jets once they realize the cold light of day that their starting QBs are probably at or near their peak peformance levels right about now?

I suspect the Rams will have more than one team interested in the price of that #2 pick even if the Redskins choose not to play the game. Now the Rams may hold out for such an exorbitant price that they cannot move the pick, but that is different from not getting any offers.
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Last edited by sportscurmudgeon; 01-15-2012 at 10:17 PM.
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