Guard watches coast for oil slick's first wave

[SolidSnake84]

Originally Posted by joethiesmanfan

We quoting comments now? You got me. I guess I am just regular old JTF, and not the Prophe-seer.

That was a reader comment, indeed. However, the reader is correct in their worst-case scenario, as the article clearly explains what COULD happen. Yes it's a nightmare scenario, but it is all scientifically plausible.

At this point with the disaster, everybody from you and me, to BP and the government are speculating, just like that person that posted the comment.

The bastards are making things up as they go, so it's impossible for somebody to not speculate on what the outcome is.

We can be honest with ourselves and say assuredly that the above scenario will probably not happen, but being factual and scientific, the possibility exists if certain things happen.

The biggest danger thus far is the well casing exploding from the pressure due to the fact that it is already damaged, and already leaking. That is why they stopped "Top Kill", because pieces of the blowout preventer were literally coming up from the well. They knew that much more and the well could explode.

So the issue from here out is can the well casing survive long enough for the relief wells to be finished, AND survive the pumping of mud and cement to permanantly close the damaged well. The other big maybe is that the relief wells work. The scientists say it is a 30 to 40% chance that they are successful.

And one last thing, as of today, the existing blowout preventer is titling at a 15 degree angle. It has been falling over the past few weeks, and unless supports are installed, it will fall over, ruining the containment cap and pipe that is taking oil and gas to the surface...