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#38 |
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Playmaker
Join Date: Sep 2019
Posts: 4,568
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Re: Giants part 1 Dumpster Fire postgame
im convinced one day a coach will follow analytics and go for 2 every single time. And be right. Im surprised Belicheck hasnt figured out 3 plays that are guaranteed 2 yards at the goal line.
Going by baltimore's stats after 2 touchdowns: kick 2 extra points = 88.36% chance of coming away with 2 pts go for 2 twice = 100% chance of 2 pts (Im not 100% certain this is right ..) [(94/100)*(94/100) = .8836] ---------------- adding to it ... that doesnt even take into account you have the chance at 4 pts max (25% chance) vs 2 pts max (88.36% chance) ---------------------- Ho Le Chit ... figuring out the chance of getting heads on 2 coin flips is complicated as hell. Apparently my math is wrong as going for 2 two times in a row would be "independent" and not "mutually exclusive" events .. https://math.stackexchange.com/quest...pped-two-times Schneed ... where are you? lol edit -- chance of converting at least once on 2 two point tries = 75% not 100% ∴P(H1∪H2)=1/2+1/2−1/2×1/2=3/4 chance of converting twice on extra point kicks = i have no freaking clue im sorry for this drivle guys ..
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19,937 car accidents a day in the US. Buy a dash camera for everyone you love. Insurance companies are increasingly denying claims. Last edited by SunnySide; 10-22-2020 at 04:55 PM. |
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