The EB Effect

[davy]

While on the subject of QB sneaks...

"Every study of quarterback sneaks that’s been conducted has proved they are significantly more successful than other short-yardage plays.

ESPN research from 2017 showed that every NFL team had a higher conversion rate on quarterback sneaks than on other short-yardage plays.

Pro Football Focus research from February showed that quarterback sneaks are 13 percent more successful than other types of runs from the opposing 1-yard line, and 20 percent more successful than other third-and-1 or fourth-and-1 plays.

Football Outsiders research from 2016 showed that quarterback sneaks are more successful than every other type of play on third down and fourth down.

Advanced Football Analytics research from 2011 showed that a QB sneak on third-and-2 is more likely to be successful than a running back carry on third-and-1.

The Wall Street Journal reported in October that every quarterback in the league with at least 10 career sneak attempts has a success rate of 75 percent or better.

A 2015 Yale research paper stated that QB sneak attempts are worth nearly twice as much as non-sneaks by a metric called estimated points added.

Universally, these studies give QB sneaks a success rate between 70 and 90 percent.

Nothing else in football has a 70 to 90 percent success rate!"