DON's week 7 picks

D'BOYZ · 10-20-2007, 11:03 PM

THE DON'S
Crystal Ball

WEEK 7 PICKS

By DonCanabis
CP Analyst/Godfather

Well, we lost, but no one really thought we would go out and finish 16-0, right? Even though I thought it would be closer, and for three quarters it was, it ended up being a massacre. How about my upset special, N.O over Seattle? How about them apples? Man, what about all these QBs dropping like flies? If this keeps up, be sure we'll see more rule changes to protect the ladies...in five years, you will see the QBs playing with red jerseys.

On with the picks...

Atlanta at New Orleans -8 Ovr/Und 42.5

They win one game, and now they're an eight-point favorite? Vegas is trying to trick you guys into picking Atlanta because of the spread—don't fall into that trap. New Orleans isn't great, but Atlanta is worse, and with Leftwich at QB, they still don't stand a chance. Take the home team.

Straight: New Orleans
Spread: New Orleans
Ovr/Und: Under

Tampa Bay at Detroit -2 Ovr/Und 44.5

The accurate QB vs. the air-it-out one?? Detroit comes rested and CJ is scheduled to play, but Detroit's problem isn't on offense but on defense. So the questions are: can Tampa hold the potent offense, and can its offense hold up if it becomes a shootout? I think so.

Straight: Tampa Bay
]Spread: Tampa Bay
Ovr/Und: Over

Tennessee at Houston +1.5 Ovr/Und 38.5

Vince Young won't be 100%, and if he can't move, he loses 80% of his talent. Schaub is almost getting his whole offense back, which will make this team a lot better. Expect a low-scoring game, a true game of defenses with the home team taking the game.

Straight: Houston
Spread: Houston
Ovr/Und: Under

New England at Miami +16.5 Ovr/Und 51.5

Miami usually plays tough against Brady...they've somehow got his number, but that was a Miami team with some confidence and pride. There's nothing left of that in this team. J.Taylor shouldn't have come back from retirement—it's just too painful to watch.

Straight: New England
Spread: New England
Ovr/Und: Over

San Francisco at New York Giants -9 Ovr/Und 39.5

Smith might play, but who cares? They'll still lose...Eli is looking better, but he still continues to make mistakes, and they would have lost the game against a better team Monday. New York will take the W, but San Francisco's defense will keep it close.

Straight: New York Giants
Spread: New York Giants
Ovr/Und: Under

Arizona at Washington -8 Ovr/Und 36

Talk about a season going to the shitter faster than diarrhea...and with the fifth pick of the draft Arizona takes.... Washington is a very good team—a lot better than I expected. They just need to learn how to win close games; both of their losses have come on games they should have won.

Straight: Washington
Spread: Washington
Ovr/Und: Over

Baltimore at Buffalo +3 Ovr/Und 35

The Bills had their best news of the season this week: J.P. Losman will keep the bench warm. This kid played two more years than he had to. Baltimore's defense is looking good. I would have taken Buffalo after the heart they showed against the Cowboys, but I believe it hurt them too much to recover this week.

Straight: Baltimore
Spread: Baltimore
Ovr/Und: Under

New York Jets at Cincinnati -6 Ovr/Und 47

Talk about a bad game...I thought last week would have been Chad's last game as a starter. I guess I missed it by a week.

Straight: Cincinnati
Spread: New York Jets
Ovr/Und: Under

Kansas City at Oakland -3 Ovr/Und 37.5

Kansas City is starting to come along and is getting their groove back. Daunte is starting to look like last year instead of three years ago.

Straight: Kansas City
Spread: Kansas City
Ovr/Und: Over

St. Louis at Seattle -8.5 Ovr/Und 39.5
UPSET OF THE WEEK

For two weeks in a row, Seattle will be in charge of giving the first win of the year to two teams, that's how huge is the loss of Strong to this team.

Straight: St. Louis
Spread: St. Louis
Ovr/Und: Over

Chicago at Philadelphia -5.5 Ovr/Und 41.5
UPSET OF THE WEEK II

Philadelphia just didn't show up enough against a bad Jets team. Chicago will be all over McNabb all day.

Straight: Chicago
Spread: Chicago
Ovr/Und: Over

Minnesota at Dallas -9.5 Ovr/Und 46

Coming after a tough loss and everyone doubting how good they are will be enough fuel to give A.P. his first welcoming party to the NFL. This is the first time the secondary won't be the reason Dallas doesn't win, because Minnesota just can't pass.

Straight: Dallas
Spread: Dallas
Ovr/Und: Over

Pittsburgh at Denver +3.5 Ovr/Und 39

Winning in Mile-High Stadium is hard, but playing without your best two players is even harder. Take Pittsburgh.

Straight: Pittsburgh
Spread: Pittsburgh
Ovr/Und: Under

Indianapolis at Jacksonville +3 Ovr/Und 45

These are usually close, low-scoring matches; don't expect otherwise. This is a good game to close the week—I wouldn't be surprised if Jacksonville takes it, especially with the way Maurice is playing.

Straight: Indianapolis
Spread: Indianapolis
Ovr/Und: Under

Hot Picks

New Orleans
Tampa Bay
Houston
Washington
Dallas
Dallas (Over)

I can't seem to crack 59%—weird season...

And if it turns out any other way, I'll deny I said this!

dmek25 · 10-21-2007, 07:33 AM

i appreciate you taking time out of your day to post these.

SouperMeister · 10-21-2007, 10:32 AM

Don - 59% against the spread is pretty damn solid. The boys in Vegas lose money to guys like you.

D'BOYZ · 10-21-2007, 12:14 PM

I'm a little dissapointed soup because last year I was 68% against the spread it's been a really weird season

10-20-2007, 11:03 PM	#1
D'BOYZ The Starter Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 1,363	DON's week 7 picks THE DON'S Crystal Ball WEEK 7 PICKS By DonCanabis CP Analyst/Godfather Well, we lost, but no one really thought we would go out and finish 16-0, right? Even though I thought it would be closer, and for three quarters it was, it ended up being a massacre. How about my upset special, N.O over Seattle? How about them apples? Man, what about all these QBs dropping like flies? If this keeps up, be sure we'll see more rule changes to protect the ladies...in five years, you will see the QBs playing with red jerseys. On with the picks... Atlanta at New Orleans -8 Ovr/Und 42.5 They win one game, and now they're an eight-point favorite? Vegas is trying to trick you guys into picking Atlanta because of the spread—don't fall into that trap. New Orleans isn't great, but Atlanta is worse, and with Leftwich at QB, they still don't stand a chance. Take the home team. Straight: New Orleans Spread: New Orleans Ovr/Und: Under Tampa Bay at Detroit -2 Ovr/Und 44.5 The accurate QB vs. the air-it-out one?? Detroit comes rested and CJ is scheduled to play, but Detroit's problem isn't on offense but on defense. So the questions are: can Tampa hold the potent offense, and can its offense hold up if it becomes a shootout? I think so. Straight: Tampa Bay ]Spread: Tampa Bay Ovr/Und: Over Tennessee at Houston +1.5 Ovr/Und 38.5 Vince Young won't be 100%, and if he can't move, he loses 80% of his talent. Schaub is almost getting his whole offense back, which will make this team a lot better. Expect a low-scoring game, a true game of defenses with the home team taking the game. Straight: Houston Spread: Houston Ovr/Und: Under New England at Miami +16.5 Ovr/Und 51.5 Miami usually plays tough against Brady...they've somehow got his number, but that was a Miami team with some confidence and pride. There's nothing left of that in this team. J.Taylor shouldn't have come back from retirement—it's just too painful to watch. Straight: New England Spread: New England Ovr/Und: Over San Francisco at New York Giants -9 Ovr/Und 39.5 Smith might play, but who cares? They'll still lose...Eli is looking better, but he still continues to make mistakes, and they would have lost the game against a better team Monday. New York will take the W, but San Francisco's defense will keep it close. Straight: New York Giants Spread: New York Giants Ovr/Und: Under Arizona at Washington -8 Ovr/Und 36 Talk about a season going to the shitter faster than diarrhea...and with the fifth pick of the draft Arizona takes.... Washington is a very good team—a lot better than I expected. They just need to learn how to win close games; both of their losses have come on games they should have won. Straight: Washington Spread: Washington Ovr/Und: Over Baltimore at Buffalo +3 Ovr/Und 35 The Bills had their best news of the season this week: J.P. Losman will keep the bench warm. This kid played two more years than he had to. Baltimore's defense is looking good. I would have taken Buffalo after the heart they showed against the Cowboys, but I believe it hurt them too much to recover this week. Straight: Baltimore Spread: Baltimore Ovr/Und: Under New York Jets at Cincinnati -6 Ovr/Und 47 Talk about a bad game...I thought last week would have been Chad's last game as a starter. I guess I missed it by a week. Straight: Cincinnati Spread: New York Jets Ovr/Und: Under Kansas City at Oakland -3 Ovr/Und 37.5 Kansas City is starting to come along and is getting their groove back. Daunte is starting to look like last year instead of three years ago. Straight: Kansas City Spread: Kansas City Ovr/Und: Over St. Louis at Seattle -8.5 Ovr/Und 39.5 UPSET OF THE WEEK For two weeks in a row, Seattle will be in charge of giving the first win of the year to two teams, that's how huge is the loss of Strong to this team. Straight: St. Louis Spread: St. Louis Ovr/Und: Over Chicago at Philadelphia -5.5 Ovr/Und 41.5 UPSET OF THE WEEK II Philadelphia just didn't show up enough against a bad Jets team. Chicago will be all over McNabb all day. Straight: Chicago Spread: Chicago Ovr/Und: Over Minnesota at Dallas -9.5 Ovr/Und 46 Coming after a tough loss and everyone doubting how good they are will be enough fuel to give A.P. his first welcoming party to the NFL. This is the first time the secondary won't be the reason Dallas doesn't win, because Minnesota just can't pass. Straight: Dallas Spread: Dallas Ovr/Und: Over Pittsburgh at Denver +3.5 Ovr/Und 39 Winning in Mile-High Stadium is hard, but playing without your best two players is even harder. Take Pittsburgh. Straight: Pittsburgh Spread: Pittsburgh Ovr/Und: Under Indianapolis at Jacksonville +3 Ovr/Und 45 These are usually close, low-scoring matches; don't expect otherwise. This is a good game to close the week—I wouldn't be surprised if Jacksonville takes it, especially with the way Maurice is playing. Straight: Indianapolis Spread: Indianapolis Ovr/Und: Under Hot Picks New Orleans Tampa Bay Houston Washington Dallas Dallas (Over) I can't seem to crack 59%—weird season... And if it turns out any other way, I'll deny I said this!

10-21-2007, 07:33 AM	#2
dmek25 MVP Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: lancaster,pa Age: 63 Posts: 10,672	Re: DON's week 7 picks i appreciate you taking time out of your day to post these. __________________ "It's better to be quiet and thought a fool than to open ones mouth and remove all doubt." courtesy of 53fan

10-21-2007, 10:32 AM	#3
SouperMeister Playmaker Join Date: Nov 2004 Location: Leesburg, VA Age: 60 Posts: 3,419	Re: DON's week 7 picks Don - 59% against the spread is pretty damn solid. The boys in Vegas lose money to guys like you.

10-21-2007, 12:14 PM	#4
D'BOYZ The Starter Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 1,363	Re: DON's week 7 picks I'm a little dissapointed soup because last year I was 68% against the spread it's been a really weird season

DON's week 7 picks

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