Eli Manning vs Jason Campbell

[GTripp0012]

Campbell's Ranks in the following measures by year:

DVOA (holding)
17th, 22nd, 18th

DYAR (improving -- mostly due to increasing games started per season)
21st, 17th, 16th

Completion % (improving drastically)
30th, 24th, 14th

Y/A (holding)
22nd, 24th, 26th

Adj Y/A [TDs add 20 yards, INTs subtract 45] (holding)
18th, 18th, 19th

TD Rate (holding...the 2006 number is in a small sample)
7th, 26th, 30th

INT Rate (improving)
13th, 8th, 1st

Sack Rate (declining drastically)
4th, 12th, 23rd

I guess the key figure to watch is the yards per attempt. All of his other peripherals suggest that this number will improve by up to a yard this season, which would result in about 2-3 additional PPG for the offense from Campbell alone. But it hasn't really improved from the day he came into the league.

I think he's probably improving his efficiency, but his declining supporting cast is masking these effects. If we finally get the 10 other offensive players moving in the right direction, the big year is absolutely inevitable.